Mercury vs. Sparks Prediction: Mercury Predicted to Win After New Data Released for WNBA Game [9/17/2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Phoenix Mercury-Los Angeles Sparks Predictions and Game Preview.
Crypto.com Arena sets the stage for the WNBA matchup between the Phoenix Mercury and Los Angeles Sparks this Tuesday.

The Los Angeles Sparks will take on the Phoenix Mercury in WNBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Tuesday, starting at 10:30PM ET.

The Sparks, with star players such as Rickea Jackson, Dearica Hamby and Odyssey Sims, are set to take on the Mercury, who feature Brittney Griner, Diana Taurasi and Natasha Cloud.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of the game.

"Our team has analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Mercury-Sparks game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows the Mercury with a win probability of 68%, compared to 32% for the Sparks."

Mercury vs. Sparks Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Tuesday's game between the Sparks and Mercury at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Tuesday's Mercury vs. Sparks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Sparks vs. Mercury picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Mercury vs. Sparks Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's WNBA matchup between the Mercury and Sparks 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Mercury a 68% chance of defeating the Sparks.

According to our model, the Mercury (-2.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 164.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

 

Mercury vs. Sparks Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mercury Sparks
Spread -2.5 (-110) +2.5 (-110)
Moneyline -145 +132
Total o164.5 (-110) u164.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mercury vs. Sparks Picks

Our model's strongest edge in the Mercury vs. Sparks matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best WNBA picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Mercury vs. Sparks Player Props

WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Tuesday's Mercury vs. Sparks game without necessarily betting on the outcome.

We use the best information available to project key individual stats for each team, such as points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made.

Brittney Griner is expected to lead the Mercury with 19 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Rickea Jackson is projected to have 17 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sparks.

Mercury Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mercury are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
Brittney Griner 19 7 3 0
Diana Taurasi 16 4 4 3
Natasha Cloud 13 4 7 2
Sophie Cunningham 11 4 3 2
Celeste Taylor 8 3 3 1

Sparks Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
Rickea Jackson 17 6 2 1
Dearica Hamby 15 9 3 1
Odyssey Sims 13 3 6 1
Azura Stevens 11 6 1 1
Rae Burrell 9 3 2 1

For more help with your WNBA prop betting, check out the best WNBA betting trends for today's games.

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Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Sparks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on WNBA

Keep up with the latest WNBA news and our data-driven WNBA best bets and WNBA parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets and props and has contributed insightful articles at Dimers since 2020 as Head of Social and Community.

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