Jun 6, 2026
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Read Article Fever vs. Liberty prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 16 points in Saturday's WNBA game [6/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty predictions for WNBA Saturday.
The New York Liberty will take on the Indiana Fever in WNBA action at Barclays Center on Saturday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Fever vs. Liberty game.
The Liberty, powered by Breanna Stewart, Jonquel Jones and Sabrina Ionescu, will face off against the Fever, whose lineup includes Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston.
Clark, the sweet-shooting guard for the Fever, is expected to shine with a projected 16 points and 3 threes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Fever vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's WNBA matchup between the Fever and Liberty, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Liberty a 71.9% chance of defeating the Fever.
According to our model, the Liberty (-3.5) have a 59.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 175.5-point over/under has a 59.0% chance of staying under.
Fever vs. Liberty odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fever | Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-108) | -3.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +136 | -160 |
| Total | o175.5 (-110) | u175.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fever vs. Liberty picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Liberty -3.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Liberty | -160 |
| Total | Under 175.5 | -106 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Liberty to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fever vs. Liberty player props
Betting on Fever vs. Liberty WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.
Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 21 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 19 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists for the Liberty.
For early game action, the data identifies Kelsey Mitchell as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Fever prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 21 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 32 |
| Caitlin Clark | 16 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 40 |
| Aliyah Boston | 13 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 31 |
| S. Cunningham | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 |
| Makayla Timpson | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
Liberty prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Liberty:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 39 |
| Jonquel Jones | 15 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 28 |
| Satou Sabally | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
| Leonie Fiebich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 |
Fever vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Liberty and Fever at Barclays Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty
- Date: Saturday, June 6, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Barclays Center
Conclusion
We predict the Liberty, with a 71.9% win probability, will likely beat the Fever in Saturday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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