WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, August 1, 2026
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 8/1.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Saturday, August 1, 2026—are live with the Mercury's Kahleah Copper projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Copper, A'ja Wilson and Breanna Stewart lead Saturday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (August 1, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 16.7% |
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 16.0% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 15.3% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 15.2% |
| Sydney Taylor (Sky) | 13.8% |
| Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 12.7% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 12.4% |
| NaLyssa Smith (Aces) | 11.5% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 10.7% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 9.9% |
| DeWanna Bonner (Mercury) | 8.8% |
| Courtney Vandersloot (Sky) | 8.1% |
| Valeriane Ayayi (Mercury) | 7.6% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 6.8% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 6.7% |
| Marine Fauthoux (Liberty) | 6.3% |
| Jacy Sheldon (Sky) | 6.2% |
| Rebecca Allen (Liberty) | 5.8% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 5.0% |
| Noemie Brochant (Mercury) | 4.5% |
WNBA first basket picks today (August 1, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NaLyssa Smith | Aces | 4.4% | +1300 | 11.5% |
| Kahleah Copper | Mercury | 2.4% | +600 | 16.7% |
| Alyssa Thomas | Mercury | 0.6% | +750 | 12.4% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 8/1.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For Saturday, August 1, 2026, Kahleah Copper, A'ja Wilson and Breanna Stewart lead our first basket projections, while NaLyssa Smith shapes as the strongest value play at +1300. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
