Fever vs. Fire prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 21 points in Friday's WNBA matchup [7/31/2026]

The Portland Fire and Indiana Fever will lock horns in the WNBA at Moda Center on Friday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Fever as the most likely winner in this Fever vs. Fire prediction.

The Fire, who have stars such as Carla Leite, Megan Gustafson and Bridget Carleton, will face off against the Fever, featuring Kelsey Mitchell, Aliyah Boston and Caitlin Clark.

Clark, the sweet-shooting guard for the Fever, is expected to shine with a projected 21 points and 3 threes.

This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Fever vs. Fire prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Fever and Fire, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Fever a 79.7% chance of defeating the Fire.

According to our model, the Fever (-7.5) have a 52.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 187.5-point over/under has a 76.0% chance of staying under,.

Fever vs. Fire odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Fever	Fire
Spread	-7.5 (-108)	+7.5 (+106)
Moneyline	-300	+292
Total	o187.5 (-106)	u187.5 (+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fever vs. Fire picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Fever -7.5	-108
Moneyline	Fever	-300
Total	Under 187.5	+104

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 187.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Fever vs. Fire player props

WNBA prop bets are a common way to wager on Friday's Indiana vs. Portland game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.

Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 22 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists, while Carla Leite is projected to have 14 points, 2 rebounds and 5 assists for the Fire.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Kelsey Mitchell as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Fever prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kelsey Mitchell	22	2	3	3	34
Aliyah Boston	22	9	5	1	47
Caitlin Clark	21	4	9	3	48
S. Cunningham	9	2	1	2	16
M. Billings	7	5	1	0	18

Fire prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Carla Leite	14	2	5	1	27
Megan Gustafson	12	4	1	2	21
B. Carleton	11	3	2	2	23
Frieda Buhner	8	2	1	1	15
Emily Engstler	8	4	2	1	23

Fever vs. Fire game-day updates and essential details

Friday's action between the Fire and Fever at Moda Center is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Indiana Fever vs. Portland Fire
• Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Moda Center

Conclusion

We predict the Fever, with a 79.7% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Friday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.