Fever vs. Fire prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 21 points in Friday's WNBA matchup [7/31/2026]
Get Indiana Fever vs Portland Fire predictions for WNBA Friday.
WNBA action continues on Friday at 10:00 PM ET as the Indiana Fever take on the Portland Fire at Moda Center.
Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Fever as the most likely winner in this Fever vs. Fire prediction.
The Fire, with stars such as Carla Leite, Megan Gustafson and Bridget Carleton, will face off against the Fever, featuring Kelsey Mitchell, Aliyah Boston and Caitlin Clark.
Clark, the Fever's No. 1 pick in the 2024 WNBA draft, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 21 points and 3 threes.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Fever vs. Fire prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Fever a 79.8% chance of beating the Fire.
According to our model, the Fever (-7.5) have a 52.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 187.5-point over/under has a 75.9% chance of staying under,.
Fever vs. Fire odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fever | Fire |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-108) | +7.5 (+104) |
| Moneyline | -300 | +292 |
| Total | o187.5 (+102) | u187.5 (-104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fever vs. Fire picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fever -7.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Fever | -300 |
| Total | Under 187.5 | -104 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 187.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fever vs. Fire player props
WNBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Friday's Fever vs. Fire matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.
Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 22 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists, while Carla Leite is projected to have 14 points, 2 rebounds and 5 assists for the Fire.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Kelsey Mitchell striking first with a 14% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Fever prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 22 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 34 |
| Aliyah Boston | 22 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 47 |
| Caitlin Clark | 21 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 48 |
| S. Cunningham | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| M. Billings | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
Fire prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Leite | 14 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 27 |
| Megan Gustafson | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21 |
| B. Carleton | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| Frieda Buhner | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
| Emily Engstler | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
Fever vs. Fire game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Fire and Fever at Moda Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Indiana Fever vs. Portland Fire
- Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Moda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Fever, with a 79.8% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
