Storm vs. Dream prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Friday's WNBA game [7/31/2026]

The Atlanta Dream will take on the Seattle Storm in WNBA action at Gateway Center Arena on Friday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Dream as the most likely winner in this Storm vs. Dream prediction.

The Dream, powered by Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese, will face off against the Storm, whose lineup includes Dominique Malonga, Natisha Hiedeman and Flau'jae Johnson.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Storm vs. Dream prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA game between the Storm and Dream, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Dream a 77.3% chance of beating the Storm.

According to our model, the Storm (+12.5) have a 65.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 179.5-point over/under has a 64.5% chance of staying under,.

Storm vs. Dream odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Storm	Dream
Spread	+12.5 (-112)	-12.5 (+100)
Moneyline	+500	-506
Total	o179.5 (+100)	u179.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Storm vs. Dream picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Storm +12.5	-112
Moneyline	Storm	+500
Total	Under 179.5	-105

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 179.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Storm vs. Dream player props

WNBA prop bets are a great way to wager on the Seattle vs. Atlanta game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gateway Center Arena.

Dominique Malonga is expected to lead the Storm with 18 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists, while Allisha Gray is projected to have 20 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists for the Dream.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Allisha Gray striking first with a 14.2% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Storm prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
D. Malonga	18	8	2	1	38
N. Hiedeman	15	2	4	2	30
F. Johnson	14	4	3	1	28
Awa Fam	13	5	3	3	30
Jade Melbourne	7	2	4	0	18

Dream prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Allisha Gray	20	5	3	2	36
Rhyne Howard	18	4	4	3	38
Angel Reese	17	13	3	0	44
Brionna Jones	13	6	3	0	30
Jordin Canada	12	4	7	1	35

Storm vs. Dream game-day updates and essential details

Friday's matchup between the Dream and Storm at Gateway Center Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream
• Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Gateway Center Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Dream, with a 77.3% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Friday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.