Jun 4, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, June 4, 2026
Read Article Valkyries vs. Lynx prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Thursday's WNBA matchup [6/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Golden State Valkyries vs Minnesota Lynx predictions for WNBA Thursday.
The Minnesota Lynx and Golden State Valkyries will meet in the WNBA at Target Center on Thursday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Valkyries vs. Lynx game.
The Lynx, led by Courtney Williams, Kayla McBride and Olivia Miles, will face off against the Valkyries, featuring Veronica Burton, Gabby Williams and Janelle Salaun.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Valkyries vs. Lynx prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Valkyries and Lynx, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Lynx a 65% chance of beating the Valkyries.
According to our model, the Lynx (-3.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 164.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Valkyries vs. Lynx odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Valkyries | Lynx |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-105) | -3.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +142 | -165 |
| Total | o164.5 (-108) | u164.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Valkyries vs. Lynx picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lynx -3.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Lynx | -165 |
| Total | Over 164.5 | -108 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Lynx to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Valkyries vs. Lynx player props
Betting on Valkyries vs. Lynx WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.
Veronica Burton is expected to lead the Valkyries with 11 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while Courtney Williams is projected to have 15 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Lynx.
When evaluating the first basket market, Natasha Howard is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 13.1% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Valkyries prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Valkyries are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Burton | 11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 28 |
| Gabby Williams | 10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| Janelle Salaun | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| Kayla Thornton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21 |
| C. Zandalasini | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
Lynx prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lynx:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 15 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 35 |
| Kayla McBride | 14 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 27 |
| Olivia Miles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 31 |
| Natasha Howard | 12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 |
| Nia Coffey | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
Valkyries vs. Lynx game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Lynx and Valkyries at Target Center is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx
- Date: Thursday, June 4, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Target Center
Conclusion
We predict the Lynx, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Valkyries in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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