Jun 2, 2026
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Read Article Aces vs. Sparks prediction: Las Vegas favored to win Tuesday's WNBA matchup [6/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Las Vegas Aces vs Los Angeles Sparks predictions for WNBA Tuesday.
The Los Angeles Sparks will take on the favored Las Vegas Aces in WNBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Tuesday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Aces as the most likely winner of the Aces vs. Sparks game.
The Sparks, with the likes of Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike and Ariel Atkins, will face off against the Aces, whose lineup includes A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chennedy Carter.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Aces vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's WNBA matchup between the Aces and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Aces a 75% chance of beating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Sparks (+7.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 175.5-point over/under has a 62% chance of staying under.
Aces vs. Sparks odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Aces | Sparks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-112) | +7.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | -298 | +240 |
| Total | o175.5 (-108) | u175.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Aces vs. Sparks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sparks +7.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Aces | -298 |
| Total | Under 175.5 | -112 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 175.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Aces vs. Sparks player props
Betting on Las Vegas vs. Los Angeles WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 29 points, 10 rebounds and 4 assists, while Dearica Hamby is projected to have 19 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists for the Sparks.
When evaluating the first basket market, A'ja Wilson is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 16.3% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Aces prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Aces are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 29 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 58 |
| Jackie Young | 17 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 37 |
| Chennedy Carter | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25 |
| Chelsea Gray | 11 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 33 |
| Jewell Loyd | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
Sparks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 40 |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 36 |
| Ariel Atkins | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 29 |
| Erica Wheeler | 12 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 27 |
| Rae Burrell | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
Aces vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between the Sparks and Aces at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- Date: Tuesday, June 2, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Aces, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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