Aces vs. Sparks prediction: Las Vegas favored to win Tuesday's WNBA matchup [6/2/2026]

The Los Angeles Sparks will face the favored Las Vegas Aces in WNBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Tuesday, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Aces as the most likely winner of the Aces vs. Sparks game.

The Sparks, led by Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike and Ariel Atkins, are set to take on the Aces, featuring A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Aces vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's WNBA matchup between the Aces and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Aces a 73% chance of defeating the Sparks.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Aces and Sparks each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 176.5 points has a 61% chance of staying under.

Aces vs. Sparks odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Aces	Sparks
Spread	-6.5 (-115)	+6.5 (-105)
Moneyline	-280	+240
Total	o176.5 (-108)	u176.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Aces vs. Sparks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sparks +6.5	-105
Moneyline	Aces	-280
Total	Under 176.5	-110

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 176.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Aces vs. Sparks player props

Looking for Las Vegas vs. Los Angeles WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 29 points, 10 rebounds and 4 assists, while Dearica Hamby is projected to have 19 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists for the Sparks.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight A'ja Wilson as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Aces prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Aces are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
A'ja Wilson	29	10	4	1	58
Jackie Young	19	5	7	2	41
Chelsea Gray	12	4	8	2	36
NaLyssa Smith	11	7	1	0	27
S. Talbot	6	6	4	1	25

Sparks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Dearica Hamby	19	9	3	0	40
Nneka Ogwumike	19	8	2	2	36
Ariel Atkins	14	3	3	2	29
Erica Wheeler	12	3	4	2	27
Rae Burrell	11	3	2	1	21

Aces vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's matchup between the Sparks and Aces at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks
• Date: Tuesday, June 2, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.