Jun 10, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, June 10, 2026
Read Article Mercury vs. Storm prediction: Phoenix favored to win Wednesday's WNBA game [6/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The Seattle Storm and Phoenix Mercury are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at Climate Pledge Arena on Wednesday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of the Mercury vs. Storm game.
The Storm, led by Natisha Hiedeman, Flau'jae Johnson and Awa Fam, are set to take on the Mercury, featuring Alyssa Thomas, Kahleah Copper and DeWanna Bonner.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Mercury vs. Storm prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA matchup between the Mercury and Storm, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Mercury a 73% chance of beating the Storm.
According to our model, the Storm (+7.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 160.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Mercury vs. Storm odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mercury | Storm |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-108) | +7.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -270 | +225 |
| Total | o160.5 (-110) | u160.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mercury vs. Storm picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm +7.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Mercury | -270 |
| Total | Over 160.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Storm +7.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mercury vs. Storm player props
WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the Mercury vs. Storm matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.
Alyssa Thomas is expected to lead the Mercury with 17 points, 9 rebounds and 8 assists, while Natisha Hiedeman is projected to have 13 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists for the Storm.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Natisha Hiedeman striking first with a 13.6% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Mercury prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mercury are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas | 17 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 46 |
| Kahleah Copper | 17 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| DeWanna Bonner | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| Jovana Nogic | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| M. Akoa-Makani | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
Storm prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Storm:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hiedeman | 13 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 26 |
| F. Johnson | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| Awa Fam | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| Jordan Horston | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 |
| Jade Melbourne | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
Mercury vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between the Storm and Mercury at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm
- Date: Wednesday, June 3, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Mercury, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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