Jun 6, 2026
Best WNBA bets today: Saturday's picks include Mystics vs. Dream play [6/6/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, June 6, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/6.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Saturday, June 6, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections are based on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Natisha Hiedeman and Kelsey Mitchell lead Saturday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 6, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 16.2% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 14.2% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 13.6% |
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | 13.6% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 13.3% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 13.1% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 13.0% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 12.9% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 12.9% |
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 12.9% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 12.4% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 11.6% |
| Pauline Astier (Liberty) | 11.5% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 11.4% |
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 11.3% |
| NaLyssa Smith (Aces) | 11.3% |
| Rhyne Howard (Dream) | 10.6% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 10.1% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 10.1% |
| Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 9.9% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 9.6% |
| Angel Reese (Dream) | 9.6% |
| Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics) | 9.6% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 9.5% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 9.4% |
| Jordin Canada (Dream) | 9.3% |
| Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries) | 8.9% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 8.9% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 8.8% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 7.8% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 7.4% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 7.3% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 7.1% |
| Jordan Horston (Storm) | 6.9% |
| Naz Hillmon (Dream) | 6.9% |
| Stefanie Dolson (Storm) | 6.0% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 5.8% |
| Leonie Fiebich (Liberty) | 5.6% |
| Lexie Hull (Fever) | 5.3% |
| Georgia Amoore (Mystics) | 4.5% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 6, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 4.2% | +900 | 14.2% |
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 3.9% | +1000 | 12.9% |
| Allisha Gray | Dream | 1.8% | +750 | 13.6% |
| Jordin Canada | Dream | 1.6% | +1200 | 9.3% |
| Awa Fam | Storm | 1.5% | +750 | 13.3% |
| Chelsea Gray | Aces | 1.5% | +1600 | 7.4% |
| Michaela Onyenwere | Mystics | 1.3% | +1100 | 9.6% |
| Kiki Iriafen | Mystics | 0.4% | +700 | 12.9% |
| Sonia Citron | Mystics | 0.1% | +900 | 10.1% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/6.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Saturday, June 6, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Natisha Hiedeman and Kelsey Mitchell lead our first basket projections, with Hiedeman shaping as the strongest value play at +900. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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