Sun vs. Sky prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win Thursday's WNBA game [7/30/2026]
Get Connecticut Sun vs Chicago Sky predictions for WNBA Thursday.
The Chicago Sky will square off with the Connecticut Sun in WNBA action at Wintrust Arena on Thursday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Sky as the most likely winner in this Sun vs. Sky prediction.
The Sky, powered by Sydney Taylor, Kamilla Cardoso and Natasha Cloud, are set to take on the Sun, who feature Leila Lacan, Olivia Nelson-Ododa and Aneesah Morrow.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sun vs. Sky prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Sky a 61.2% chance of defeating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sun (+4.5) have a 55.3% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 175.5 points has a 65.6% chance of staying under,.
Sun vs. Sky odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sun | Sky |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (+113) | -4.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +186 | -192 |
| Total | o175.5 (-104) | u175.5 (+104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sun vs. Sky picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sun +4.5 | +113 |
| Moneyline | Sun | +186 |
| Total | Under 175.5 | +104 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 175.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sun vs. Sky player props
WNBA prop bets are a common way to wager on the Sun vs. Sky matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Wintrust Arena.
Leila Lacan is expected to lead the Sun with 13 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists, while Sydney Taylor is projected to have 20 points, 2 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sky.
For early game action, the data identifies Sydney Taylor as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sun prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leila Lacan | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 29 |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 30 |
| Aneesah Morrow | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
| Diamond Miller | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| Kennedy Burke | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
Sky prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sky:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Taylor | 20 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 31 |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 35 |
| Natasha Cloud | 12 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 29 |
| C. Vandersloot | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 22 |
| Jacy Sheldon | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 |
Sun vs. Sky game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Sky and Sun at Wintrust Arena is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky
- Date: Thursday, July 30, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Wintrust Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Sky, with a 61.2% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
