Sun vs. Sky prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win Thursday's WNBA game [7/30/2026]

The Chicago Sky will face the Connecticut Sun in WNBA action at Wintrust Arena on Thursday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Sky as the most likely winner in this Sun vs. Sky prediction.

The Sky, with stars like Sydney Taylor, Kamilla Cardoso and Natasha Cloud, will face off against the Sun, who feature Leila Lacan, Olivia Nelson-Ododa and Aneesah Morrow.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sun vs. Sky prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's WNBA game between the Sun and Sky, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Sky a 62.9% chance of beating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sun (+5.5) have a 58.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 177-point over/under has a 70.8% chance of staying under,.

Sun vs. Sky odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sun	Sky
Spread	+5.5 (+100)	-5.5 (-102)
Moneyline	+208	-203
Total	o177 (-110)	u177 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sun vs. Sky picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sun +5.5	+100
Moneyline	Sun	+208
Total	Under 177	-110

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 177 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sun vs. Sky player props

Betting on Connecticut vs. Chicago WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Wintrust Arena.

Leila Lacan is expected to lead the Sun with 13 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists, while Sydney Taylor is projected to have 20 points, 2 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sky.

For early game action, the data identifies Sydney Taylor as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sun prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Leila Lacan	13	2	4	1	29
O. Nelson-Ododa	12	6	2	0	30
Aneesah Morrow	10	9	1	1	28
Diamond Miller	10	3	1	1	19
Kennedy Burke	9	3	1	1	19

Sky prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sky:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Sydney Taylor	20	2	2	3	31
Kamilla Cardoso	15	8	3	0	35
Natasha Cloud	12	4	5	1	29
C. Vandersloot	8	3	5	1	22
Jacy Sheldon	7	2	2	1	15

Sun vs. Sky game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's action between the Sky and Sun at Wintrust Arena is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky
• Date: Thursday, July 30, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Wintrust Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Sky, with a 62.9% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.