Jun 5, 2026
Best WNBA bets today: Friday's picks include Wings vs. Sparks play [6/5/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, June 5, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/5.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Friday, June 5, 2026—are live with the Sky's Kamilla Cardoso projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Cardoso, Brittney Griner and Kelsey Plum lead Friday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 5, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 14.1% |
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 13.7% |
| Kelsey Plum (Sparks) | 13.7% |
| Megan Gustafson (Fire) | 12.8% |
| Jovana Nogic (Mercury) | 12.7% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 12.5% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 12.4% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 12.4% |
| Natasha Mack (Mercury) | 12.0% |
| Aneesah Morrow (Sun) | 11.7% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 11.4% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 10.7% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 10.6% |
| Maddy Siegrist (Wings) | 10.6% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 10.1% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 9.5% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 9.4% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 9.3% |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker (Fire) | 9.3% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 8.6% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 8.3% |
| Monique Akoa-Makani (Mercury) | 8.3% |
| Jacy Sheldon (Sky) | 8.2% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 7.9% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 7.9% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 7.5% |
| Diamond Miller (Sun) | 6.7% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 6.6% |
| Saniya Rivers (Sun) | 6.5% |
| Alexa Held (Mercury) | 4.6% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 5, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Gustafson | Fire | 4.4% | +1100 | 12.8% |
| Jacy Sheldon | Sky | 1.9% | +1500 | 8.2% |
| Saniya Rivers | Sun | 1.7% | +2000 | 6.5% |
| Diamond Miller | Sun | 1.1% | +1700 | 6.7% |
| Maddy Siegrist | Wings | 1.1% | +950 | 10.6% |
| Natasha Cloud | Sky | 0.2% | +1200 | 7.9% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/5.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Friday, June 5, 2026, Kamilla Cardoso, Brittney Griner and Kelsey Plum lead our first basket projections, while Megan Gustafson shapes as the strongest value play at +1100. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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