Jun 5, 2026
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Read Article Wings vs. Sparks prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 20 points in Friday's WNBA matchup [6/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Dallas Wings vs Los Angeles Sparks predictions for WNBA Friday.
The Los Angeles Sparks and Dallas Wings are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at Crypto.com Arena on Friday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Wings as the most likely winner of the Wings vs. Sparks game.
The Sparks, who have the likes of Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike and Kelsey Plum, will face off against the Wings, whose lineup includes Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Azzi Fudd.
Bueckers, the star point guard for the Wings, is expected to shine with a projected 20 points and 1 threes.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Wings vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Wings and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Wings a 52.7% chance of beating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Sparks (+1.5) have a 52.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 178.5 points has a 64.8% chance of staying under.
Wings vs. Sparks odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wings | Sparks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-110) | +1.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | -125 | +105 |
| Total | o178.5 (-110) | u178.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wings vs. Sparks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sparks +1.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Sparks | +105 |
| Total | Under 178.5 | -110 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 178.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Wings vs. Sparks player props
Betting on Dallas vs. Los Angeles WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 20 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists, while Dearica Hamby is projected to have 20 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists for the Sparks.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Kelsey Plum striking first with a 13.7% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Wings prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | 20 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 38 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 16 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 30 |
| Azzi Fudd | 15 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 28 |
| Jessica Shepard | 14 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 39 |
| Maddy Siegrist | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
Sparks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby | 20 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 42 |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 37 |
| Kelsey Plum | 15 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 29 |
| Ariel Atkins | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 26 |
| Rae Burrell | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
Wings vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between the Sparks and Wings at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- Date: Friday, June 5, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Wings, with a 52.7% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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