Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever: Tight Battle Expected in Updated Analysis for WNBA Game [7/12/2024]

Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever: Tight Battle Expected in Updated Analysis for WNBA Game [7/12/2024]

The Indiana Fever will take on the Phoenix Mercury in WNBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday, beginning at 7:30PM ET.

The Fever, with star players like Caitlin Clark, Kelsey Mitchell and NaLyssa Smith, will face off against the Mercury, featuring Kahleah Copper, Brittney Griner and Sophie Cunningham.

Clark, the sweet-shooting rookie guard for the Fever, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 26 points and 5 threes.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Fever as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Mercury-Fever game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Fever's chance of winning is 70% , while the Mercury's is 30%."

Mercury vs. Fever Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's action between the Fever and Mercury at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to begin at 7:30PM ET.'s full preview of Friday's Mercury vs. Fever matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Fever vs. Mercury picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Mercury vs. Fever Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's WNBA game between the Mercury and Fever 10,000 times as part of our WNBA picks coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Fever a 70% chance of beating the Mercury.

According to our model, the Fever (-2.5) have a 62% chance of covering the spread, while the 173.5-point over/under has a 61% chance of staying under.


Mercury vs. Fever Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mercury Fever
Spread +2.5 (+108) -2.5 (+100)
Moneyline +144 -145
Total o173.5 (-110) u173.5 (-113)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mercury vs. Fever Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mercury vs. Fever matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best WNBA bets for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Mercury vs. Fever Player Props

WNBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Phoenix vs. Indiana matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome.

We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Kahleah Copper is expected to lead the Mercury with 28 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists, while Caitlin Clark is projected to have 26 points, 6 rebounds and 8 assists for the Fever.

Mercury Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mercury are:

Kahleah Copper 28 5 3 3
Brittney Griner 23 7 3 0
Sophie Cunningham 12 4 3 2
Rebecca Allen 9 4 1 1
Mikiah Harrigan 8 3 1 2

Fever Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:

Caitlin Clark 26 6 8 5
Kelsey Mitchell 17 2 3 2
NaLyssa Smith 15 9 1 1
Aliyah Boston 13 8 3 0
Katie Samuelson 8 3 2 2

For more help with your WNBA prop betting, check out the best WNBA trends for today's games.


We predict the Fever, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Fever insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

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Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver has long been entrenched in the world of sports and sports betting, now specializing in the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. His passion shines through in his detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles for both the NBA and NFL, along with his sharp prop bets for college football and insightful best bets for college basketball. Ryan’s expertise also extends to soccer, where he frequently offers practical betting tips and highlights the bets of the day. 

Known for his keen eye for valuable betting promos, Ryan adeptly guides bettors toward opportunities that enhance their wagering experiences. Collaborating often with DimersBOT, his articles are meticulously researched and offer savvy betting advice, making him a trusted source for sports bettors.

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