UNC Wilmington vs. Towson prediction: Why Towson is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/29/2026]

Towson and UNC Wilmington will meet in men's college basketball action at SECU Arena on Thursday, with tipoff at 9:00 PM ET.

The championship matchup pairs two 14–3 teams coming off sharply contrasting conference title games, with New England advancing through a low-scoring, snow-filled AFC Championship win over Denver and Seattle earning its place after a 31–27 NFC Championship thriller against the Rams.

The clash also spotlights two offensive focal points, with Drake Maye guiding New England through a composed, run-focused AFC title performance and Jaxon Smith-Njigba entering as Seattle’s primary playmaker following a 153-yard, one-touchdown outing in the NFC Championship.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives Towson a slight edge with a 54% win probability over North Carolina-Wilmington.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's UNC Wilmington vs. Towson matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

UNC Wilmington vs. Towson prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between UNC Wilmington and Towson 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Towson a 54% chance of beating North Carolina-Wilmington. Our predicted final score has Towson winning 68-67.

According to our model, North Carolina-Wilmington (+1.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 135.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.

UNC Wilmington vs. Towson odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

UNC Wilmington vs. Towson picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: