NHL 2020 Playoffs Lightning vs. Islanders Game 4: Predictions, picks and bets

While all eyes may already be on the city of Tampa Bay this weekend for a different reason, the Lightning will be looking to gain the upper hand in their Eastern Conference Finals matchup against the New York Islanders.

The Lightning lead the series 2-1 and know a win against the Isles today will give them a near unassailable lead as they march on to the Stanley Cup Finals.

Can New York make a series of it, or will Tampa Bay prevail? Looking to place a bet on this one? Get $5 Per Goal on this NHL Playoff Game with PointsBet. Not with PointsBet? Get $150 in free bets when you make your first $50 deposit.

Quick Picks are Dimers’ best sports betting picks. Based on analytics, each pick is made after at least 10,000 simulations per game. The higher the edge, the better. Learn More

Dimers' Suggested Plays
🔥BEST: Over/Under o5.5 goals (+120*)
💵Moneyline: Lightning  (-143*)
🏒Puck line: Lightning -1.5 (+170*)
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BEST
👆Over/Under: o5.5 goals (+120*) has a 5.5% edge on the sportsbooks

Quite an odd one that there is such a large % edge against the sportsbooks on this one. Two of the three games have gone over this series, including when the teams combined for 10 goals in Game One. We know these two can score goals at will against each other so we’re going to happily take the +120 on offer.

Moneyline
💵Lightning H2H (-143*) has a 59% probability

The Islanders have been having a golden run since the NHL restart and are playing with house money at this point. A win in Game 3 was great, but don’t expect Tampa Bay to let New York back into this series. The moneyline pick is a safe bet.

Puck Line
🏒Lightning -1.5 (+170*) has a 0.5% edge on the sportsbooks

Our DimersBOT sees a very small edge in taking the lightning at the puck line here. If Tampa Bay can strike early, it may result in a massacre if New York heads drop. A nice value play if you’re looking for a big payoff.

Dimers' take-out

The charmed run of the Isles looks to be drawing to its conclusion, but it should still be an entertaining one today. Take the overs and parlay it with the Lightning at the moneyline.

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*odds are correct at time of publishing