May 22, 2026
Tigers vs. Orioles prediction: Baltimore favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [5/22/2026]
Read Article Mets vs. Marlins prediction: Tight battle projected in updated analysis for Friday's MLB matchup [5/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Mets vs Miami Marlins predictions for MLB Friday.
The Miami Marlins will take on the New York Mets, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at loanDepot park on Friday, beginning at 7:10 PM ET.
Eury Pérez (2-6, 5.33 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Marlins, while the Mets have opted for Tobias Myers (0-1, 3.41 ERA).
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives an equal chance for both both teams to win the Mets-Marlins matchup.
This article offers further insights into Friday's Mets vs. Marlins matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Marlins prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Marlins, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently can't split the two teams, giving both the Mets and Marlins a 50% chance of winning the game.
According to our model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Mets vs. Marlins odds [5/22/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+160) | +1.5 (-186) |
| Moneyline | -104 | -112 |
| Total | o8 (-105) | u8 (-111) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Marlins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | +160 |
| Moneyline | Mets | -104 |
| Total | Over 8 | -105 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Marlins game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB game between the Marlins and Mets at loanDepot park is scheduled to start at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
- Date: Friday, May 22, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: loanDepot park
Conclusion
We predict a close game between the Mets and Marlins on Friday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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