Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Marlins MLB game on May 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB sport icon
MLB
Mets
1
2
May 22, 7:10 PM ET loanDepot park
Marlins
May 22, 7:10 PM ET loanDepot park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0
Marlins
0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 X 2 5 0
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Mets NYM
Win %
0%
100%
Marlins MIA
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Bo Bichette flies out to center field to Jakob Marsee.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Benge RF3000010.0000.250
2 B. Bichette 3B4000001.0000.000
3 J. Soto DH3121100.6672.334
4 M. Vientos 1B3000001.0000.000
5 T. Taylor CF1000001.0000.000
6 M. Semien 2B3000001.0000.000
7 V. Bruján SS0000000.0000.000
8 N. Morabito LF3000003.0000.000
9 M. Melendez PH1000001.0000.000
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 X. Edwards 2B4000001.0000.000
2 L. Hicks 1B4000001.0000.000
3 O. Lopez SS1000000.0000.000
4 K. Stowers DH3000001.0000.000
5 J. Marsee CF3000001.0000.000
6 E. Ruiz RF3220000.6672.334
7 G. Pauley 3B0000000.0000.000
8 J. Mack C3010000.3330.666
9 J. Sanoja LF3010000.3331.000

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Mets vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mets vs. Marlins
  • Date: Friday, May 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: loanDepot park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Marlins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mets +107, Marlins -104

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mets: 50%
  • Marlins: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 50%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Marlins are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.