World Series Game 1 player props today: Friday's best props include Jacob Misiorowski [10/23/2026]

Jacob Misiorowski over 0.5 earned runs (-190)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 73.6%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Brewers' Jacob Misiorowski over 0.5 earned runs. A probability of 73.6% gives this play an edge of 8.0% at -190 odds.

Ben Williamson to get a hit (-110)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 56.7%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

Ben Williamson’s to get a hit prop shows a 56.7% probability and an 4.4% edge at -110 odds, according to our model.

Victor Mesa Jr. to get a hit (+100)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 53.7%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Victor Mesa Jr. to get a hit, with simulations showing a 53.7% probability and a 3.7% edge at +100.

Taylor Walls to get a hit (+135)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 50.3%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Taylor Walls to get a hit, with a 50.3% probability and an edge of 7.7% at +135 odds.

Junior Caminero over 2.5 bases (+340)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 28.2%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Junior Caminero over 2.5 bases for Rays, showing an edge of 5.5% at +340 odds.

David Hamilton over 0.5 to steal a base (+360)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 25.9%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

David Hamilton’s to steal a base prop shows an edge of 4.2% at +360 odds, supported by a 25.9% probability according to our model.

Ben Williamson to get an RBI (+390)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 22.5%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Ben Williamson to get an RBI for Rays, with a 22.5% probability and a 2.1% edge at +390 odds.

Taylor Walls to get an RBI (+504)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 20.8%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Taylor Walls to get an RBI, supported by a 20.8% probability at +504 odds and an edge of 4.3%.

Taylor Walls over 0.5 to steal a base (+880)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 16.0%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

A 5.8% edge on the over 0.5 to steal a base line makes Taylor Walls a value play in Rays vs. Brewers, supported by a 16.0% probability at +880 odds.

Ben Williamson over 2.5 bases (+850)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 15.4%
• Game: Rays vs. Brewers (8:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Ben Williamson over 2.5 bases here, with a 15.4% probability and 4.9% edge at +850 odds.

MLB World Series player prop summary: Game 1, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 8:56PM ET:

Conclusion

For October 23, 2026, our MLB postseason prop bets feature players such as Jacob Misiorowski, Ben Williamson and Victor Mesa Jr.. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.