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Necaxa vs. Monterrey prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [1/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Necaxa vs Monterrey predictions for Liga MX Tuesday.
Necaxa will square off with Monterrey in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Victoria on Tuesday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Monterrey as the most likely winner of the Necaxa vs. Monterrey game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Necaxa vs. Monterrey prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Liga MX matchup between Necaxa and Monterrey 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 37.1% chance of Necaxa winning, a 39.5% chance for Monterrey, and a 23.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 62% chance of going over, according to our model.
Necaxa vs. Monterrey odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Necaxa | Monterrey | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +150 | +165 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -162 | +126 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Necaxa vs. Monterrey picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Monterrey | +165 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -162 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Monterrey to win.
Necaxa vs. Monterrey: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NXA 1-1 MNT | 10.4% |
| NXA 1-2 MNT | 8.5% |
| NXA 2-1 MNT | 8.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 63.9% chance that both Necaxa and Monterrey score, and a 36.1% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Necaxa vs. Monterrey game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between Necaxa and Monterrey at Estadio Victoria is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Necaxa vs. Monterrey
- Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Victoria
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Necaxa has a 37.1% win probability on Tuesday, Monterrey has a 39.5% win probability, and there is a 23.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Necaxa vs. Monterrey insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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