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Necaxa vs. Monterrey prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [1/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Necaxa vs Monterrey predictions for Liga MX Tuesday.
Liga MX action continues on Tuesday at 8:00 PM ET as Monterrey takes on Necaxa in the playoffs at Estadio Victoria.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Monterrey as the most likely winner of the Necaxa vs. Monterrey game.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Necaxa vs. Monterrey prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Liga MX matchup between Necaxa and Monterrey 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 36.3% chance of Necaxa winning, a 40.0% chance for Monterrey, and a 23.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 61% chance of going over, according to our model.
Necaxa vs. Monterrey odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Necaxa | Monterrey | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +155 | +170 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -144 | +118 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Necaxa vs. Monterrey picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Monterrey | +170 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -144 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Monterrey to win.
Necaxa vs. Monterrey: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NXA 1-1 MNT | 10.7% |
| NXA 1-2 MNT | 8.6% |
| NXA 2-1 MNT | 8.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 62.6% chance that both Necaxa and Monterrey score, and a 37.4% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Necaxa vs. Monterrey game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between Necaxa and Monterrey at Estadio Victoria is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Necaxa vs. Monterrey
- Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Victoria
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Necaxa has a 36.3% win probability on Tuesday, Monterrey has a 40.0% win probability, and there is a 23.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Necaxa vs. Monterrey insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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