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Monterrey vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Monterrey vs. Necaxa at the Liga MX on January 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Monterrey
2
0
Jan 14, 1AM Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Jan 14, 1AM Estadio Victoria
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
MonterreyMON
G. Berterame (15')
Soccer ball icon
I. Fimbres (31')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MON
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: S. Medina replaces C. Salcedo
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: A. Martial replaces R. de la Rosa
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Moxica replaces G. Berterame
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Rodriguez replaces O. Torres
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: A. Aceves replaces S. Canales
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: F. Rossano replaces C. Calderon
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: A. E. Almendra replaces T. Badaloni
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: K. Gutierrez replaces D. Leyva
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: J. Carranza replaces R. Sanchez
31'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by I. Fimbres, assisted by R. de la Rosa
2-0
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by G. Berterame, assisted by O. Torres
1-0

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Monterrey vs. Necaxa: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Monterrey vs. Necaxa prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Monterrey vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Monterrey +170, Necaxa +145, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+110)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Monterrey: 40.0%
  • Necaxa: 36.3%
  • Draw: 23.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Monterrey 1-1 Necaxa, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 40.0% probability, while Necaxa sits at 36.3%, with the draw at 23.7%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Monterrey vs. Necaxa prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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