MLB player props today: Saturday's best props include Eduardo Rodriguez [5/16/2026]

Eduardo Rodriguez under 5.5 strikeouts (-150)

• Edge: 9.6%
• Probability: 69.6%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Arizona's Eduardo Rodriguez under 5.5 strikeouts. A probability of 69.6% gives this play an edge of 9.6% at -150 odds.

Sal Frelick to get a hit (-181)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 67.6%
• Game: Brewers vs. Twins (7:10PM ET)

Sal Frelick’s to get a hit prop shows a 67.6% probability and an 3.2% edge at -181 odds, according to our model.

Bryce Elder under 5.5 strikeouts (-138)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 67.2%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

The data highlights value on Bryce Elder under 5.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 67.2% probability and a 9.2% edge at -138.

Logan Henderson under 5.5 strikeouts (-144)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 66.2%
• Game: Brewers vs. Twins (7:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Logan Henderson under 5.5 strikeouts, with a 66.2% probability and an edge of 7.1% at -144 odds.

Corbin Carroll over 1.5 bases (-144)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 65.9%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Corbin Carroll over 1.5 bases for Arizona, showing an edge of 6.9% at -144 odds.

Joey Cantillo over 4.5 strikeouts (-152)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 64.4%
• Game: Reds vs. Guardians (6:10PM ET)

Joey Cantillo’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 4.1% at -152 odds, supported by a 64.4% probability according to our model.

Garrett Mitchell to get a hit (-132)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 63.2%
• Game: Brewers vs. Twins (7:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Garrett Mitchell to get a hit for Milwaukee, with a 63.2% probability and a 6.3% edge at -132 odds.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. over 1.5 bases (-111)

• Edge: 9.6%
• Probability: 62.2%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

The data shows value on Lourdes Gurriel Jr. over 1.5 bases, supported by a 62.2% probability at -111 odds and an edge of 9.6%.

Thomas Saggese to get a hit (-142)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 61.3%
• Game: Royals vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET)

A 2.6% edge on the to get a hit line makes Thomas Saggese a value play in Royals vs. Cardinals, supported by a 61.3% probability at -142 odds.

Kyle Leahy over 3.5 strikeouts (-136)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 60.5%
• Game: Royals vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET)

Simulations show value on Kyle Leahy over 3.5 strikeouts here, with a 60.5% probability and 2.9% edge at -136 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Saturday, May 16, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:53AM ET:

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Conclusion

For May 16, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Eduardo Rodriguez, Sal Frelick and Bryce Elder. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.