MLB picks today: Saturday's MLB best bets include Rays vs. Red Sox play [5/9/2026]

Rays vs. Red Sox over 7.5 runs (-105)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Matchup: Rays vs. Red Sox (4:10PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on over 7.5 runs in Rays vs. Red Sox at -105 odds. A 55.4% probability produces an edge of 4.2%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Angels vs. Blue Jays over 8 runs (-110)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Matchup: Angels vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET, Saturday)

Angels vs. Blue Jays over 8 runs carries a 3.6% edge and a probability of 55.9% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks over 9 runs (+100)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 53.3%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Diamondbacks (7:15PM ET, Saturday)

Mets vs. Diamondbacks over 9 runs at +100 odds shows a 3.3% edge, supported by a 53.3% probability in simulations.

Athletics vs. Orioles over 9.5 runs (-101)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 53.5%
• Matchup: Athletics vs. Orioles (4:05PM ET, Saturday)

A 3.3% edge and 53.5% probability make Athletics vs. Orioles over 9.5 runs at a value play in the Athletics vs. Orioles matchup, per our model.

Yankees vs. Brewers over 7.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 54.9%
• Matchup: Yankees vs. Brewers (7:10PM ET, Saturday)

Yankees vs. Brewers over 7.5 runs at -108 odds presents a 3.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.9%.

Twins vs. Guardians over 8 runs (-102)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 53.4%
• Matchup: Twins vs. Guardians (6:10PM ET, Saturday)

Our model finds value on over 8 runs in Twins vs. Guardians at -102 odds, supported by an edge of 2.9%.

Pirates vs. Giants over 7.5 runs (-110)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 55.1%
• Matchup: Pirates vs. Giants (9:05PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has uncovered value on Pirates vs. Giants over 7.5 runs at -110 odds. A 55.1% probability produces a 2.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Cubs vs. Rangers over 8.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Matchup: Cubs vs. Rangers (7:05PM ET, Saturday)

A 2.3% edge on a 54.2% probability makes over 8.5 runs at -108 odds a solid value play in today's Cubs vs. Rangers matchup.

Rockies vs. Phillies over 8.5 runs (-105)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 53.3%
• Matchup: Rockies vs. Phillies (6:05PM ET, Saturday)

Our model projects value on over 8.5 runs at -105 odds. A 53.3% probability produces a 2.1% edge, making the over the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

MLB best bets summary: Saturday, 5/9/2026

As of 7:35AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Rays vs. Red Sox	Over 7.5 Runs	-105 @ BetMGM	4.2%	55.4%
Angels vs. Blue Jays	Over 8 Runs	-110 @ BetMGM	3.6%	55.9%
Mets vs. Diamondbacks	Over 9 Runs	+100 @ FanDuel	3.3%	53.3%
Athletics vs. Orioles	Over 9.5 Runs	-101 @ DraftKings	3.3%	53.5%
Yankees vs. Brewers	Over 7.5 Runs	-108 @ FanDuel	3.0%	54.9%
Twins vs. Guardians	Over 8 Runs	-102 @ BetMGM	2.9%	53.4%
Pirates vs. Giants	Over 7.5 Runs	-110 @ BetMGM	2.7%	55.1%
Cubs vs. Rangers	Over 8.5 Runs	-108 @ DraftKings	2.3%	54.2%
Rockies vs. Phillies	Over 8.5 Runs	-105 @ FanDuel	2.1%	53.3%

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [5/9/2026]

• Angels vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET, Saturday)
• Athletics vs. Orioles (4:05PM ET, Saturday)
• Nationals vs. Marlins (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Astros vs. Reds (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Rays vs. Red Sox (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Rockies vs. Phillies (6:05PM ET, Saturday)
• Twins vs. Guardians (6:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Cubs vs. Rangers (7:05PM ET, Saturday)
• Yankees vs. Brewers (7:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Mariners vs. White Sox (7:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Tigers vs. Royals (7:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Mets vs. D-Backs (7:15PM ET, Saturday)
• Cardinals vs. Padres (7:15PM ET, Saturday)
• Pirates vs. Giants (9:05PM ET, Saturday)
• Braves vs. Dodgers (9:10PM ET, Saturday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for May 9, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Rays vs. Red Sox matchup and over 8 runs in the Angels vs. Blue Jays matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.