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Nationals vs. Marlins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nationals vs. Marlins MLB game on May 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
7
8
May 9, 4:10 PM ET loanDepot park
May 9, 4:10 PM ET loanDepot park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nationals | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 2 |
Marlins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | X | 8 | 12 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
CJ Abrams flies out to center field to Jakob Marsee.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Wood | RF | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .667 | 2.800 |
| 2 | J. Wiemer | PR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | J. Vivas | PH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | C. Abrams | SS | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .400 | 1.200 |
| 5 | D. Lile | LF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.917 |
| 6 | J. Young | CF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | J. Tena | DH | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 1.167 |
| 8 | D. Millas | C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 9 | N. Nuñez | 2B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X. Edwards | 2B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .200 | 1.000 |
| 2 | O. Lopez | SS | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .400 | 1.000 |
| 3 | L. Hicks | DH | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 4 | K. Stowers | LF | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .750 | 2.500 |
| 5 | C. Norby | 1B | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 1.167 |
| 6 | J. Marsee | CF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 1.833 |
| 7 | E. Ruiz | RF | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 3.000 |
| 8 | L. Jiménez | 3B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.583 |
| 9 | J. Mack | C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.500 |
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Nationals vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Nationals vs. Marlins
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Time: 4:10 PM ET
- Venue: loanDepot park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Marlins favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5
- Moneyline Odds: Nationals +147, Marlins -147
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Nationals: 39%
- Marlins: 61%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nationals a win probability of 39%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Marlins are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nationals vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
