Astros vs. Reds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Astros vs. Reds MLB game on May 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Astros
Spencer Arrighetti 4-0, 1.96 ERA
1
3
Great American Ball Park
Reds
Chase Burns 3-1, 2.20 ERA
Great American Ball Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Astros
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4 2
Reds
0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 X 3 5 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Astros
    0%
  • Reds
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Cam Smith grounds out to shallow infield, Ke'Bryan Hayes to Spencer Steer.
Quick Box Score
Astros Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Altuve 2B4010000.2500.500
2 Y. Alvarez DH2010021.5001.750
3 I. Paredes 3B4000000.0000.000
4 C. Walker 1B4000000.0000.000
5 C. Smith RF4000002.0000.000
6 Z. Dezenzo LF1000001.0000.000
7 B. Matthews CF3000000.0000.000
8 B. Shewmake SS3111100.3331.666
9 C. Vázquez C2000011.0000.333
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Myers CF1000000.0000.000
2 J. Bleday LF4000000.0000.000
3 E. De La Cruz SS4021001.5001.000
4 K. Hayes 3B0000000.0000.000
5 N. Lowe DH3000001.0000.000
6 S. Steer 1B3110000.3330.666
7 W. Benson RF1100021.0000.667
8 J. Trevino C2100000.0000.000
9 M. McLain 2B3012001.3330.666

Astros vs. Reds: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Astros vs. Reds
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Reds favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Astros 41¢, Reds 59¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Astros: 41%
  • Reds: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Astros a win probability of 41%, while the Reds have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Reds are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Great American Ball Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Astros vs. Reds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.