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Astros vs. Reds Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Astros vs. Reds MLB game on May 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
1
3
May 9, 4:10 PM ET Great American Ball Park
May 9, 4:10 PM ET Great American Ball Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Astros | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
Reds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | X | 3 | 5 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Cam Smith grounds out to shallow infield, Ke'Bryan Hayes to Spencer Steer.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Altuve | 2B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 2 | Y. Alvarez | DH | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .500 | 1.750 |
| 3 | I. Paredes | 3B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | C. Walker | 1B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | C. Smith | RF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | Z. Dezenzo | LF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | B. Matthews | CF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | B. Shewmake | SS | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 1.666 |
| 9 | C. Vázquez | C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.333 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Myers | CF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | J. Bleday | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | E. De La Cruz | SS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 4 | K. Hayes | 3B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | N. Lowe | DH | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | S. Steer | 1B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 7 | W. Benson | RF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | 0.667 |
| 8 | J. Trevino | C | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | M. McLain | 2B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.666 |
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Astros vs. Reds: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Astros vs. Reds
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Time: 4:10 PM ET
- Venue: Great American Ball Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Reds favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5
- Moneyline Odds: Astros +144, Reds -141
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Astros: 41%
- Reds: 59%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Astros a win probability of 41%, while the Reds have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Reds are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Great American Ball Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Astros vs. Reds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
