Nationals vs. Marlins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nationals vs. Marlins MLB game on May 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Nationals
Zack Littell 1-4, 7.24 ERA
7
8
May 9, 4:10 PM ET loanDepot park
Marlins
Janson Junk 2-3, 2.82 ERA
May 9, 4:10 PM ET loanDepot park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Nationals
3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 7 11 2
Marlins
0 0 0 2 0 1 1 4 X 8 12 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nationals
    0%
  • Marlins
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
CJ Abrams flies out to center field to Jakob Marsee.
Quick Box Score
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wood RF3221110.6672.800
2 J. Wiemer PR0000000.0000.000
3 J. Vivas PH1000000.0000.000
4 C. Abrams SS5122000.4001.200
5 D. Lile LF3011000.3330.917
6 J. Young CF4000001.0000.000
7 J. Tena DH3110011.3331.167
8 D. Millas C4111002.2500.500
9 N. Nuñez 2B4000002.0000.000
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 X. Edwards 2B5111101.2001.000
2 O. Lopez SS5120001.4001.000
3 L. Hicks DH3000010.0000.250
4 K. Stowers LF4232100.7502.500
5 C. Norby 1B3210010.3331.167
6 J. Marsee CF3113111.3331.833
7 E. Ruiz RF11100001.0003.000
8 L. Jiménez 3B3011000.3330.583
9 J. Mack C4020001.5001.500

Nationals vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nationals vs. Marlins
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Venue: loanDepot park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Marlins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nationals +147, Marlins -147

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nationals: 39%
  • Marlins: 61%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nationals a win probability of 39%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Marlins are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nationals vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.