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Read Article Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: Mercury Projected to Win According to Model for WNBA Game [6/28/2024]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
![Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: Mercury Projected to Win According to Model for WNBA Game [6/28/2024]](https://imgix.cosmicjs.com/63ebe500-3504-11ef-a80e-a766a255236d-WNBA_2024_46_PHX_LA.png?w=750)
The Phoenix Mercury will square off with the Los Angeles Sparks in WNBA action at Footprint Center on Friday, beginning at 10:00PM ET.
The Mercury, with the likes of Kahleah Copper, Brittney Griner and Diana Taurasi, are set to take on the Sparks, who feature Dearica Hamby, Rickea Jackson and Aari McDonald.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of the game.
"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Sparks-Mercury game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Mercury's chance of winning is 80% , while the Sparks' is 20%."
Sparks vs. Mercury Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Friday's game between the Mercury and Sparks at Footprint Center is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury
- Date: Friday, June 28, 2024
- Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Footprint Center
Dimers.com's full preview of Friday's Sparks vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Mercury vs. Sparks picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Access 165 bets, including a 14% edge Get Dimers Pro Sparks vs. Mercury Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Sparks and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Mercury an 80% chance of beating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Sparks (+10) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 169.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 1:25AM, Jun 29
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
Sparks vs. Mercury Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sparks | Mercury |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +10 (-108) | -10 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +455 | -600 |
| Total | o169.5 (-110) | u169.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sparks vs. Mercury Picks
Our model's strongest edge in the Sparks vs. Mercury matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best WNBA bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Access 15 WNBA bets, including an 11% edge Get Dimers Pro Sparks vs. Mercury Player Props
WNBA prop bets are a common way to wager on Friday's Los Angeles vs. Phoenix game without necessarily betting on the outcome.
We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Footprint Center.
Dearica Hamby is expected to lead the Sparks with 14 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kahleah Copper is projected to finish with 21 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists for the Mercury.
Sparks Prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| Rickea Jackson | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Aari McDonald | 12 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Stephanie Talbot | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Kia Nurse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Mercury Prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mercury:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper | 21 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Brittney Griner | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Diana Taurasi | 18 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Natasha Cloud | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| Rebecca Allen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
For more help with your WNBA prop betting, check out the best WNBA trends for today's games.
Conclusion
We predict the Mercury, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sparks vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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