May 23, 2026
Lynx vs. Sky prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win Saturday's WNBA game [5/23/2026]
Read Article Sparks vs. Aces prediction: Las Vegas favored to win Saturday's WNBA game [5/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Los Angeles Sparks vs Las Vegas Aces predictions for WNBA Saturday.
The Las Vegas Aces will square off with the Los Angeles Sparks in WNBA action at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Saturday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Aces as the most likely winner of the Sparks vs. Aces game.
The Aces, powered by A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chennedy Carter, are set to take on the Sparks, featuring Kelsey Plum, Nneka Ogwumike and Dearica Hamby.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sparks vs. Aces prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's WNBA matchup between the Sparks and Aces, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Aces an 80% chance of beating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Aces (-8.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 181.5-point over/under has a 70% chance of staying under.
Sparks vs. Aces odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sparks | Aces |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-114) | -8.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | +285 | -350 |
| Total | o181.5 (-108) | u181.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sparks vs. Aces picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Aces -8.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Aces | -350 |
| Total | Under 181.5 | -110 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 181.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sparks vs. Aces player props
WNBA prop bets are a great way to wager on the Los Angeles vs. Las Vegas matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Michelob ULTRA Arena.
Kelsey Plum is expected to lead the Sparks with 19 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while A'ja Wilson is projected to have 27 points, 9 rebounds and 4 assists for the Aces.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sparks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum | 19 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 35 |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 18 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 36 |
| Dearica Hamby | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 38 |
| Ariel Atkins | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
| Erica Wheeler | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 20 |
Aces prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Aces:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 27 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 55 |
| Jackie Young | 18 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 38 |
| Chennedy Carter | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 28 |
| Chelsea Gray | 11 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 33 |
| Jewell Loyd | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 22 |
Sparks vs. Aces game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Aces and Sparks at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces
- Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Aces, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Saturday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
$0 for 3 days
then $14.99/week
Already a Pro member? Log in
New here? See everything Pro includes
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure
