Sparks vs. Dream prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Monday's WNBA game [7/13/2026]
Get Los Angeles Sparks vs Atlanta Dream predictions for WNBA Monday.
The Atlanta Dream will square off with the Los Angeles Sparks in WNBA action at Gateway Center Arena on Monday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Dream as the most likely winner of the Sparks vs. Dream game.
The Dream, who have stars such as Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese, are set to take on the Sparks, featuring Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike and Rae Burrell.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sparks vs. Dream prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Dream a 72.8% chance of defeating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Sparks (+8.5) have a 56.3% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 180.5 points has a 69.8% chance of staying under,.
Sparks vs. Dream odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sparks | Dream |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-110) | -8.5 (+108) |
| Moneyline | +292 | -326 |
| Total | o180.5 (-102) | u180.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sparks vs. Dream picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sparks +8.5 | novig-110 |
| Moneyline | Sparks | novig+292 |
| Total | Under 180.5 | +100 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 180.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sparks vs. Dream player props
Betting on Los Angeles vs. Atlanta WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gateway Center Arena.
Dearica Hamby is expected to lead the Sparks with 17 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Allisha Gray is projected to have 22 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists for the Dream.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Nneka Ogwumike as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sparks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 35 |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 17 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 33 |
| Rae Burrell | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| Ariel Atkins | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
| Erica Wheeler | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 21 |
Dream prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | 22 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 39 |
| Rhyne Howard | 21 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 41 |
| Angel Reese | 16 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 45 |
| Jordin Canada | 14 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 36 |
| Brionna Jones | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 |
Sparks vs. Dream game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Dream and Sparks at Gateway Center Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream
- Date: Monday, July 13, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Gateway Center Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Dream, with a 72.8% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Monday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
