WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, July 12, 2026
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 7/12.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Sunday, July 12, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Paige Bueckers and Marina Mabrey lead Sunday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also identify tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (July 12, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 15.5% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 14.7% |
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 14.7% |
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 14.1% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 13.9% |
| Sydney Taylor (Sky) | 13.7% |
| Dominique Malonga (Storm) | 13.5% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 12.9% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 12.6% |
| Satou Sabally (Liberty) | 12.1% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 11.9% |
| Isabelle Harrison (Tempo) | 11.9% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 11.8% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 11.7% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 11.6% |
| Nyara Sabally (Tempo) | 11.3% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 11.0% |
| NaLyssa Smith (Aces) | 10.7% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 10.5% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 10.3% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 10.2% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 10.2% |
| Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics) | 9.6% |
| Courtney Vandersloot (Sky) | 9.0% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 8.7% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 8.5% |
| Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 8.2% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 7.7% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 7.6% |
| Lexie Hull (Fever) | 7.1% |
| Cotie McMahon (Mystics) | 7.1% |
| Leonie Fiebich (Liberty) | 6.9% |
| Maria Conde (Tempo) | 6.6% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 6.6% |
| Awak Kuier (Wings) | 6.4% |
| Jade Melbourne (Storm) | 6.2% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 6.0% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 5.9% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 5.7% |
| Julie Allemand (Tempo) | 5.5% |
WNBA first basket picks today (July 12, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 4.5% | +1300 | 11.6% |
| Sydney Taylor | Sky | 2.7% | +810 | 13.7% |
| Michaela Onyenwere | Mystics | 2.4% | +1300 | 9.6% |
| Isabelle Harrison | Tempo | 2.4% | +950 | 11.9% |
| Azzi Fudd | Wings | 2.0% | +1100 | 10.3% |
| Jackie Young | Aces | 1.9% | +900 | 11.9% |
| Nyara Sabally | Tempo | 1.7% | +940 | 11.3% |
| Lexie Hull | Fever | 1.6% | +1700 | 7.1% |
| Kiki Iriafen | Mystics | 1.1% | +670 | 14.1% |
| Caitlin Clark | Fever | 0.6% | +800 | 11.8% |
| Courtney Vandersloot | Sky | 0.6% | +1100 | 9.0% |
| Paige Bueckers | Wings | 0.5% | +600 | 14.7% |
| Marina Mabrey | Tempo | 0.1% | +583 | 14.7% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 7/12.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Sunday, July 12, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Paige Bueckers and Marina Mabrey lead our first basket projections, while Natisha Hiedeman shapes as the strongest value play at +1300. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
