Jun 22, 2026
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Read Article Sky vs. Sun prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win Monday's WNBA matchup [6/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Chicago Sky vs Connecticut Sun predictions for WNBA Monday.
WNBA action continues on Monday at 7:00 PM ET as the Chicago Sky lock horns with the Connecticut Sun at Mohegan Sun Arena.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Sky as the most likely winner of the Sky vs. Sun game.
The Sun, who have the likes of Brittney Griner, Leila Lacan and Saniya Rivers, are set to take on the Sky, whose lineup includes Sydney Taylor, Skylar Diggins-Smith and Kamilla Cardoso.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sky vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's WNBA game between the Sky and Sun, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Sky a 57.6% chance of defeating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sun (+2.5) have a 51.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 170.5 points has a 62.2% chance of staying under,.
Sky vs. Sun odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sky | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-110) | +2.5 (-104) |
| Moneyline | -148 | +125 |
| Total | o170.5 (-108) | u170.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sky vs. Sun picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sun +2.5 | -104 |
| Moneyline | Sky | -148 |
| Total | Under 170.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 170.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sky vs. Sun player props
WNBA player props are a great way to wager on Monday's Chicago vs. Connecticut matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.
Sydney Taylor is expected to lead the Sky with 18 points, 2 rebounds and 2 assists, while Brittney Griner is projected to have 12 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sun.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Brittney Griner striking first with a 12.7% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sky prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sky are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Taylor | 18 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| S. Diggins-Smith | 17 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 35 |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 34 |
| Azura Stevens | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| Natasha Cloud | 10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
Sun prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 26 |
| Leila Lacan | 12 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 28 |
| Saniya Rivers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 22 |
| Kennedy Burke | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| Aneesah Morrow | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 |
Sky vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Sun and Sky at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun
- Date: Monday, June 22, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Sky, with a 57.6% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Monday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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