Best WNBA bets today: Monday's picks include Mercury vs. Fever play [6/22/2026]

Mercury vs. Fever Under 177.5 points (+104)

• Edge: 14.0%
• Probability: 63%
• Matchup: Mercury vs. Fever (8:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Under 177.5 points in Mercury vs. Fever at +104 odds. A 63% probability produces an edge of 14.0%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.

Tempo vs. Dream Under 178.5 points (+100)

• Edge: 13.9%
• Probability: 63.9%
• Matchup: Tempo vs. Dream (7:30PM ET)

Tempo vs. Dream under 178.5 points carries a 13.9% edge and a probability of 63.9% at +100 odds, according to our model.

Tempo +13.5 (+104)

• Edge: 13.0%
• Probability: 62%
• Matchup: Tempo vs. Dream (7:30PM ET)

Tempo +13.5 vs. Dream at +104 odds shows a 13.0% edge, supported by a 62% probability in simulations.

Sky vs. Sun under 167.5 points (+106)

• Edge: 10.0%
• Probability: 58.5%
• Matchup: Sky vs. Sun (7:00PM ET)

A 10.0% edge and 58.5% probability make Sky vs. Sun under 167.5 points a value play in the Sky vs. Sun matchup, per our model.

Wings vs. Storm Under 167.5 points (+100)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 56.3%
• Matchup: Wings vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)

Wings vs. Storm Under 167.5 points at +100 odds presents a 6.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56.3%.

Sun +3.5 (-104)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: Sky vs. Sun (7:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Sun +3.5 at -104 odds, supported by an edge of 4.0%.

Sun ML (+147)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 43.9%
• Matchup: Sky vs. Sun (7:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Sun ML at +147 odds. A 43.9% probability produces a 3.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.

Wings ML (-355)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 80.9%
• Matchup: Wings vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)

A 2.9% edge on a 80.9% probability makes Wings to win at -355 odds a solid value play in today's Wings vs. Storm matchup.

Fever ML (-225)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 71.9%
• Matchup: Mercury vs. Fever (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects value on Fever to win at -225 odds. A 71.9% probability produces a 2.7% edge, making Fever the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Tempo ML (+700)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 15.1%
• Matchup: Tempo vs. Dream (7:30PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Tempo to defeat Dream at +700 odds shows a 15.1% probability and a 2.6% edge.

WNBA best bets summary: Monday, 6/22/2026

As of 12:06AM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [6/22/2026]

• Sky vs. Sun (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Tempo vs. Dream (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Mercury vs. Fever (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Wings vs. Storm (10:00PM ET, Monday)

Conclusion

Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for June 22, 2026, featuring plays such as Under 177.5 points in the Mercury vs. Fever matchup and Under 178.5 points in the Tempo vs. Dream matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.