We've got seven games of NBA basketball ahead of us for Tuesday and after a 3-1 day on our prop plays last night, we're hungry for the sweep.
So how do our player prop picks work exactly?
Well, our predictive analytics model has crunched the numbers ahead of tonight's games, giving us the likely stats projections which we've matched up against the sportsbook lines to find the biggest differential and edge for you to make a play on. While this article contains the best edges that we've found against the books, you can run this exercise yourself by looking in the Pre-Game Predictions tab of the game of your choice in the NBA Bet Hub.
With NBA betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top NBA player prop picks for tonight's games.
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It's Tuesday, May 4. Here is what the data is telling us for tonight's NBA player props ⏬
PLAYER: LaMelo Ball
BET: 🔥 OVER 15.5 points with Unibet (+100)
The presumptive Rookie of the Year is back and is slowly building up his minutes in this Hornets rotation, notching 30 minutes against the Heat on Sunday. In that game he scored 14 points, but our data projections have him going bigger tonight against the Pistons with 19 points, making the +100 odds on offer to go over 15.5 and absolute steal according to DimersBOT.
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PLAYER: Kevin Durant vs. Giannis Antetokounmpo
BET: 🔥 Player Points MATCHBET A: Kevin Durant to score more points with FanDuel Sportsbook (+104)
This is undoubtedly the best game on the docket for Wednesday, but when it came to the data projections, our predictions lined up with the sportsbook lines. So rather than leave the biggest game of the night, we thought we'd use our data to try something a little different with the Player Points Matchbet market which is available with FanDuel Sportsbook. A lot of other 'books should have something similar available also if you're looking to tail but don't bet with FD.
Our data has KD backing up his huge performance against the Bucks on Sunday with another monster game and has projected him to be the leading scorer on the floor with 31 points. To win this bet at plus-money, all Durant needs to do is score more points that Giannis. We have him on 30.
MORE: Nets @ Bucks predictions
PLAYER: Steph Curry
BET: 🔥 OVER 35.5 points with PointsBet (-120)
These two face off again for the second time in as many nights and if last night was anything to go by, Steph Curry is going to dine out.
The Warriors took control of yesterday's game early and dominated throughout. It became quite clear from the outset that the Pels did not have an answer for Steph who scored 41 points. I forget how many hero points he scored, but who cares.
We're projecting 37 out of the Golden State guard tonight.
PLAYER: Kyle Lowry
BET: 🔥 OVER 6.5 assists BetMGM (+100)
Lowry is playing some great ball right now and we can't quite believe what we're seeing here with the sportsbook line set at 6.5 assists at even money on offer. In his last five games, the Raptors point guard has only failed to hit 7 dimes once, when he had 6. Toronto have been relatively competitive on this West Coast road trip against Denver, Utah and the Lakers. We're expecting another close one and a lot of opportunities for Lowry to dish off to his teammates. Our projections have him down for 9.
🔥 Ball o15.5 points
🔥 Durant to outscore Giannis
🔥 Curry o35.5 points
🔥 Lowry o6.5 assists
💰 Parlay with FanDuel Sportsbook (+1396)