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NBA Playoffs player props today: Tuesday's best props include Jayson Tatum [4/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get NBA player props today with projections for Tuesday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for April 21, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Jayson Tatum, Amen Thompson and Jaylen Brown.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every Playoffs matchup, including 76ers vs. Celtics and Rockets vs. Lakers, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Tuesday's playoffs, 4/21
Sourced from 20+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for April 21, ranked by probability.
Jayson Tatum over 5.5 assists (-102)
- Edge: 6.4%
- Probability: 56.9%
- Projection: 6.7
- Game: 76ers vs. Celtics (7:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Boston's Jayson Tatum over 5.5 assists. A probability of 56.9% gives this play an edge of 6.4% at -102 odds.
Amen Thompson over 17.5 points scored (+102)
- Edge: 6.9%
- Probability: 56.4%
- Projection: 20.5
- Game: Rockets vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)
Amen Thompson’s points scored prop shows a 6.9% edge at +102 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 20.5 points scored on the over 17.5 line.
Jaylen Brown over 6.5 rebounds (+102)
- Edge: 6.8%
- Probability: 56.3%
- Projection: 7.6
- Game: 76ers vs. Celtics (7:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Jaylen Brown over 6.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 56.3% probability and a 6.8% edge at +102.
Derrick White over 4.5 assists (+104)
- Edge: 7.2%
- Probability: 56.2%
- Projection: 5.6
- Game: 76ers vs. Celtics (7:00PM ET)
Our model projects Derrick White to put up 5.6 assists today, creating an edge of 7.2% on the over 4.5 line at +104 odds.
Deni Avdija over 6.5 assists (+118)
- Edge: 9.9%
- Probability: 55.8%
- Projection: 7.5
- Game: Trail Blazers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Deni Avdija over 6.5 assists for Portland, showing an edge of 9.9% at +118 odds.
Payton Pritchard over 4.5 assists (+109)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 53.6%
- Projection: 5.1
- Game: 76ers vs. Celtics (7:00PM ET)
Payton Pritchard’s assists prop shows an edge of 5.8% at +109 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 5.1 today.
Kevin Durant over 4.5 assists (+114)
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 53.2%
- Projection: 5.1
- Game: Rockets vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)
Our model projects Kevin Durant for 5.1 assists for Houston, creating an edge of 6.5% on over 4.5 at +114 odds.
Jrue Holiday over 4.5 rebounds (+116)
- Edge: 5.9%
- Probability: 52.2%
- Projection: 4.9
- Game: Trail Blazers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Jrue Holiday for 4.9 rebounds, creating value on the over 4.5 line at +116 odds and a 5.9% edge.
VJ Edgecombe over 5.5 rebounds (+128)
- Edge: 7.8%
- Probability: 51.6%
- Projection: 5.8
- Game: 76ers vs. Celtics (7:00PM ET)
A 7.8% edge on the over 4.5 rebounds line makes VJ Edgecombe a value play in 76ers vs. Celtics, with our model projecting him for 5.8 rebounds at +128 odds.
Deni Avdija over 7.5 rebounds (+120)
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 50.7%
- Projection: 7.6
- Game: Trail Blazers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)
Simulations project Deni Avdija for 7.6 rebounds here, creating a 5.2% edge on the over 7.5 line at +120 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Tuesday, April 21, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:10AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Jayson Tatum over 5.5 assists | -102 @ DraftKings | 6.4% | 56.9% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Amen Thompson over 17.5 points scored | +102 @ FanDuel | 6.9% | 56.4% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Jaylen Brown over 6.5 rebounds | +102 @ DraftKings | 7.2% | 56.2% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Derrick White over 4.5 assists | +104 @ DraftKings | 7.2% | 56.2% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Deni Avdija over 6.5 assists | +118 @ FanDuel | 9.9% | 55.8% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Payton Pritchard over 4.5 assists | +109 @ DraftKings | 5.8% | 53.6% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Kevin Durant over 4.5 assists | +114 @ FanDuel | 6.5% | 53.2% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Jrue Holiday over 4.5 rebounds | +116 @ FanDuel | 5.9% | 52.2% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | VJ Edgecombe over 4.5 rebounds | +128 @ FanDuel | 7.8% | 51.6% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Deni Avdija over 7.5 rebounds | +120 @ FanDuel | 5.2% | 50.7% |
Conclusion
For April 21, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Jayson Tatum, Amen Thompson and Jaylen Brown. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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