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A'ja Wilson Revealed as Friday's Most Likely WNBA First Basket Scorer After New Data Released [7/5/2024]

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Written by Damien Souness
A'ja Wilson Revealed as Friday's Most Likely WNBA First Basket Scorer After New Data Released [7/5/2024]

This Friday, July 5th, it's time for a big day of WNBA action, headlined by the Dream's matchup against the Wings at 7:30PM ET.

After reviewing Friday's WNBA simulation results this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our data experts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.


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Additionally, this article reveals the top 10 WNBA players our predictive analytics model has determined to have the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Friday.

Let's dive into today's WNBA first basket news and updates.

WNBA Players to Watch Today

Based on the most recent injury reports, Friday's WNBA games are expected to feature big names such as Chennedy Carter, A'ja Wilson and Natasha Howard, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Who Will Score the First WNBA Basket Tonight? [July 5, 2024]

Thanks to simulating Friday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)First Basket Probability
Chennedy Carter (Sky)16.8%
A'ja Wilson (Aces)16.2%
Natasha Howard (Wings)15.8%
Tina Charles (Dream)15.8%
Arike Ogunbowale (Wings)13.5%
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)12.7%
Teaira McCowan (Wings)12.7%
Dearica Hamby (Sparks)11.9%
Rickea Jackson (Sparks)11.8%
Jewell Loyd (Storm)11.2%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Chennedy Carter, with a probability of 16.8%.

Following Carter closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are A'ja Wilson at 16.2% and Natasha Howard at 15.8%.


A'ja Wilson makes a layup.
A'ja Wilson is one of the most likely WNBA players to score the first basket on Friday, July 5, 2024.


Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: WNBA First Basket [Friday, 7/5/2024]

Having simulated the outcome of today's WNBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has discovered the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Friday. For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.

Chennedy Carter To Score First Basket

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Sky and Storm. The bet is on Chennedy Carter (CHI) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.5% according to our analysis.

Not only does Carter present an edge according to the model, but she is also the number one most likely first basket scorer for today, as noted in the list above.

Note: Clicking links to our sportsbook partners may earn us a referral fee.

Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props

WNBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Friday's data-driven WNBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!


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To increase your chances of winning when betting on WNBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

WNBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds

Complete WNBA Schedule for Today [7/5/2024]

Today's WNBA First Basket Picks: July 5, 2024

This WNBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on WNBA first basket picks for July 5, 2024. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, July 5, have been made thanks to rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate WNBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's WNBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's vital that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

More on WNBA

This article is part of our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets series.

For more WNBA betting content, we have WNBA trends for every game, as well as daily WNBA betting news and the latest WNBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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