NBA 2020 Playoffs Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers Game One: Predictions, picks and bets

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September 18, 2020 7:39 AM

We haven't got the Los Angeles showdown that many expected in the Western Conference Finals, however, this Lakers-Nuggets matchup should be exciting.

The Nuggets were exceptional in their comeback against the Clippers and will be eager to not fall behind early in the series, meanwhile, the Lakers still look to be the clear Championship favorite.

Will the Lakers go up 1-0 or can the Nuggets pull off an upset? NBA Bet Hub predictions below 👇

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Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this particular matchup

 

Dimers' Suggested Plays

🔥 BEST: Nuggets +7
💵 Moneyline: Nuggets (+235*)
👇 Over/Under: u212 total points
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🔥 BEST: Spread

Nuggets +7 to win has a 53% probability

Our predictive model has highlighted the Nuggets at the spread as the top pick in this game. According to our data, they are a 53 percent chance to cover against the Lakers. Expect a strong performance from Denver, who continue to find a way to get the job done.

 

Moneyline

💵 Nuggets (+235) has a 0.5% edge against the books

After two pretty convincing series wins, the Lakers enter Game One of the Western Conference Finals as favorites. However, it's the Nuggets who are the smart Moneyline pick in this one, as they have a 0.5 percent edge against the books.

 

👇 Over/Under

Total points u212 has a 51% probability

The defensive intensity has increased during the playoffs and we expect that trend to continue in this one. Our model is expecting this one to go below 212 total points, with the under being rated a 51 percent chance.

 

🏀 Dimers' take-out

The superstars will once again be out to play, with LeBron James, Anthony Davis, Nikola Jokic, and Jamal Murray all taking the floor as they look to edge closer to the NBA Finals. We're expecting a strong performance from the Nuggets in what should be a low-scoring game. If you’re keen for some action, check out the best sportsbooks in your state, here.

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*Odds and probabilities correct at time of publishing.