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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves prediction: Why Denver is favored to win Saturday's NBA matchup [4/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves predictions for NBA Playoffs Saturday.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will take on the Denver Nuggets in the 2026 NBA Playoffs at Target Center on Saturday, starting at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Nuggets vs. Timberwolves game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature stars like Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels, while the Nuggets will look to Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Nuggets vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NBA Playoffs game between the Nuggets and Timberwolves, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Nuggets a 56% chance of beating the Timberwolves. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 115-113.
According to our model, the Nuggets (-1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 229 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nuggets | Timberwolves |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-105) | +1.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -118 | +102 |
| Total | o229 (-110) | u229 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nuggets -1.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Nuggets | -118 |
| Total | Under 229 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Nuggets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves player props
NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Saturday's Denver vs. Minnesota game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.
Nikola Jokic is expected to lead the Nuggets with 30 points, 15 rebounds and 12 assists, while Anthony Edwards is projected to have 28 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists for the Timberwolves.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Nuggets prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Nuggets are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 30 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 74 |
| Jamal Murray | 28 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 51 |
| Aaron Gordon | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
| Christian Braun | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 26 |
| Tim Hardaway | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
Timberwolves prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Timberwolves:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 28 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 50 |
| Julius Randle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 40 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 17 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 33 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 14 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 28 |
| D. DiVincenzo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 28 |
Nuggets vs. Wolves game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Timberwolves and Nuggets in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Target Center
- NBA Playoffs bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to decide the league's champion.
A total of 16 teams, including the Nuggets and Timberwolves, reached the 2026 NBA Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
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Make the most of Dimers' Nuggets vs. Timberwolves predictions by exploring the below offer from Novig.
Conclusion
We predict the Nuggets, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves in Saturday's NBA playoffs matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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