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Vancouver vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Vancouver vs. Sporting KC at the MLS on May 29, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Vancouver
2
1
May 30, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Sporting KC
May 30, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
VancouverVAN
M. Tzionis (90')
Soccer ball icon
R. Gauld (39')
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R. Gauld (82')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SKC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
VAN
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: G. Bovalina replaces A. Schopf
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: L. Johnson replaces R. Gauld
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by M. Tzionis, assisted by K. Shelton
2-1
82'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Vancouver Whitecaps by R. Gauld
2-0
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Tzionis replaces J. Davis
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: M. Laborda replaces L. Martins
75'
Yellow Card
R. Castellanos (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: A. Ahmed replaces R. Raposo
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: F. Picault replaces B. White
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: A. Pulido replaces W. Agada
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Russell replaces A. Vargas
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: T. Leibold replaces Z. Bassong
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: D. Salloi replaces S. Afrifa
43'
Yellow Card
K. Shelton (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
39'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Vancouver Whitecaps by R. Gauld
1-0
7'
Yellow Card
B. Utvik (Vancouver Whitecaps) cautioned

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Vancouver vs. Sporting KC: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Vancouver vs. Sporting KC prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Vancouver vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Wednesday, May 29, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Children's Mercy Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Vancouver +200, Sporting KC +185, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/+106)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Vancouver: 35.0%
  • Sporting KC: 40.5%
  • Draw: 24.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Vancouver 1-1 Sporting KC, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Vancouver is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 35.0% probability, while Sporting KC sits at 40.5%, with the draw at 24.5%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Vancouver vs. Sporting KC prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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