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Montreal vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Montreal vs. Toronto at the MLS on May 18, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS
1
5
May 18, 11:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
May 18, 11:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
M. Longstaff (6')
F. Bernardeschi (12')
P. Owusu (19')
F. Bernardeschi (58')
F. Bernardeschi (60')
I. Sunusi (67')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
F. Bernardeschi (Toronto FC) cautioned
Substitution for CF Montreal: A. Biello replaces J. Vilsaint
Substitution for Toronto FC: J. Marshall-Rutty replaces T. Spicer
Substitution for CF Montreal: G. Corbo replaces J. Waterman
Substitution for CF Montreal: R. Zouhir replaces M. Choiniere
Goal scored for CF Montreal by I. Sunusi, assisted by G. Campbell
1-5
Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Kerr replaces P. Owusu
Substitution for Toronto FC: K. Thompson replaces M. Longstaff
Goal scored for Toronto FC by F. Bernardeschi
0-5
Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Etienne replaces L. Insigne
Substitution for Toronto FC: K. Franklin replaces A. Coello
Goal scored for Toronto FC by F. Bernardeschi, assisted by A. Coello
0-4
Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Yankov replaces B. Duke
Substitution for CF Montreal: J. Sosa replaces F. Alvarez
Goal scored for Toronto FC by P. Owusu, assisted by L. Insigne
0-3
Goal scored for Toronto FC by F. Bernardeschi, assisted by D. Flores
0-2
Goal scored for Toronto FC by M. Longstaff
0-1
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Montreal vs. Toronto: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Montreal vs. Toronto prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Montreal vs. Toronto
- Date: Saturday, May 18, 2024
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: BMO Field
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Montreal +360, Toronto -124, draw +285
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-136/+112)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Montreal: 24.8%
- Toronto: 52.2%
- Draw: 23.1%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Montreal 1-1 Toronto, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Montreal is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 24.8% probability, while Toronto sits at 52.2%, with the draw at 23.1%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Montreal vs. Toronto prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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