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NY Red Bulls vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for NY Red Bulls vs. NY City at the MLS on May 18, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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NY Red Bulls
1
2
May 18, 11:30PM Citi Field (New York, New York)
NY City
May 18, 11:30PM Citi Field (New York, New York)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NY CityNYC
Score Summary
NY Red BullsNY
H. Wolf (3')
Soccer ball icon
M. Bakrar (64')
Soccer ball icon
C. Harper (45')
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S. Nealis (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NYC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
NY
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. Tolkin (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: M. Ilenic replaces H. Wolf
90'
Yellow Card
S. Schwarz (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
90'
Red Card
S. Nealis (New York Red Bulls) sent off for a second yellow card
88'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: A. Reyes replaces F. Amaya
78'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: C. Burke replaces K. Duncan
73'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. A. Ojeda replaces M. Jones
72'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. Perea replaces S. Rodriguez
69'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: D. Gjengaar replaces D. Edelman
69'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. Forsberg replaces D. Vanzeir
67'
Yellow Card
S. Nealis (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
65'
Yellow Card
F. Amaya (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
64'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by M. Bakrar
1-2
58'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: M. Bakrar replaces J. Mijatovic
46'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: W. Carmona replaces C. Harper
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by C. Harper, assisted by S. Nealis
1-1
32'
Yellow Card
J. Sands (New York City) cautioned
25'
Yellow Card
C. Harper (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
3'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by H. Wolf
0-1

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NY Red Bulls vs. NY City: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' NY Red Bulls vs. NY City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: NY Red Bulls vs. NY City
  • Date: Saturday, May 18, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +185, NY City +160, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/-110)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • NY Red Bulls: 32.0%
  • NY City: 41.4%
  • Draw: 26.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is NY Red Bulls 1-1 NY City, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 32.0% probability, while NY City sits at 41.4%, with the draw at 26.6%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' NY Red Bulls vs. NY City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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