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Philadelphia vs. New England Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Philadelphia vs. New England at the MLS on May 18, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Philadelphia
3
0
May 18, 11:30PM Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Massachusetts)
New England
May 18, 11:30PM Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Massachusetts)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
New EnglandNE
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
R. Spaulding (14')
Red Card icon
J. Carranza (38')
Soccer ball icon
D. Gazdag (47')
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D. Gazdag (80')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NE
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
PHI
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Rafanello replaces D. Gazdag
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: T. Baribo replaces J. Carranza
85'
Yellow Card
X. Arreaga (New England Revolution) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: A. Farrell replaces N. Lima
83'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: N. Buck replaces M. Polster
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by D. Gazdag
3-0
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: Q. Sullivan replaces M. Uhre
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: O. Mbaizo replaces N. Harriel
66'
Yellow Card
G. Vrioni (New England Revolution) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: E. Boateng replaces E. Bajraktarevic
63'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: I. Harkes replaces M. Kaye
50'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: D. Jones replaces D. Borrero
47'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by D. Gazdag
2-0
38'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by J. Carranza, assisted by J. McGlynn
1-0
30'
Yellow Card
N. Harriel (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
28'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. McGlynn replaces J. Martinez
17'
Yellow Card
H. Kessler (New England Revolution) cautioned
14'
Red Card
R. Spaulding (New England Revolution) sent off with a straight red card

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Philadelphia vs. New England: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. New England prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. New England
  • Date: Saturday, May 18, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +140, New England +170, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-175/+140)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 43.5%
  • New England: 33.5%
  • Draw: 23.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Philadelphia 1-1 New England, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 43.5% probability, while New England sits at 33.5%, with the draw at 23.1%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. New England prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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