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Sporting KC vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Sporting KC vs. Dallas at the MLS on March 18, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS
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Mar 19, 12:30AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
Mar 19, 12:30AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
A. Velasco (55')
J. Ferreira (84')
D. Salloi (11')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for FC Dallas: F. Quignon replaces A. Velasco
Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Ibeagha replaces P. Arriola
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: K. Pierre replaces B. Sweat
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Tzionis replaces K. Shelton
Goal scored for FC Dallas by J. Ferreira
1-2
Substitution for FC Dallas: Geovane Jesus replaces E. Twumasi
Substitution for FC Dallas: J. Jimenez replaces S. Lletget
R. Voloder (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
E. Twumasi (FC Dallas) cautioned
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: N. Radoja replaces E. Thommy
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: F. Hernandez replaces R. Espinoza
Penalty missed by E. Thommy for Sporting Kansas City
M. Paes (FC Dallas) cautioned
Substitution for FC Dallas: T. Ntsabeleng replaces P. Pomykal
Goal scored for FC Dallas by A. Velasco, assisted by S. Lletget
1-1
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Salloi
1-0
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Sporting KC vs. Dallas: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Sporting KC vs. Dallas prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Sporting KC vs. Dallas
- Date: Saturday, March 18, 2023
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Stadium
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Sporting KC +270, Dallas +110, draw +260
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/-106)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Sporting KC: 25.3%
- Dallas: 48.6%
- Draw: 26.0%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Sporting KC 1-1 Dallas, with a probability of 12%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Sporting KC is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 25.3% probability, while Dallas sits at 48.6%, with the draw at 26.0%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Sporting KC vs. Dallas prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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