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Cincinnati vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Cincinnati vs. Chicago at the MLS on March 18, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Cincinnati
3
:
3
Mar 19, 12:30AM Soldier Field (Chicago, Illinois)
Chicago
Mar 19, 12:30AM Soldier Field (Chicago, Illinois)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
CincinnatiCIN
K. Przybylko (32')
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R. Czichos (pen.) (45')
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C. Mueller (46')
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J. Moreno (8')
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S. Santos (84')
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J. Moreno (87')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CHI
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
CIN
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
M. Pineda (Chicago Fire) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
K. Przybylko (Chicago Fire) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: K. Burks replaces A. Souquet
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by J. Moreno
3-3
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by S. Santos, assisted by L. Acosta
2-3
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: A. Monis replaces M. Haile-Selassie
80'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: L. Acosta replaces M. Angulo
80'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Ordonez replaces B. Vazquez
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. J. Dean R. replaces M. Navarro
66'
Yellow Card
M. Navarro (Chicago Fire) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: S. Arias replaces R. Gaddis
61'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: S. Santos replaces I. Murphy
58'
Yellow Card
B. Vazquez (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
58'
Yellow Card
G. Gimenez (Chicago Fire) cautioned
46'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by C. Mueller, assisted by A. Souquet
1-3
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by R. Czichos (pen.)
1-2
32'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by K. Przybylko
1-1
13'
Yellow Card
C. Teran (Chicago Fire) cautioned
8'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by J. Moreno
1-0

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Cincinnati vs. Chicago: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Cincinnati vs. Chicago prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Cincinnati vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, March 18, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cincinnati +170, Chicago +170, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+104/-117)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Cincinnati: 35.8%
  • Chicago: 38.4%
  • Draw: 25.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Cincinnati 1-1 Chicago, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Cincinnati is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 35.8% probability, while Chicago sits at 38.4%, with the draw at 25.8%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Cincinnati vs. Chicago prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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