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Austin vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Austin vs. Houston at the MLS on March 18, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Austin
0
2
Mar 19, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
Houston
Mar 19, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
AustinAUS
A. Bassi (pen.) (71')
Soccer ball icon
H. Herrera (86')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
HOU
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
AUS
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: L. A. Caicedo M. replaces A. Carrasquilla
86'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by H. Herrera, assisted by G. Dorsey
0-2
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: G. Dorsey replaces A. Bassi
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: G. Zardes replaces M. Urruti
79'
Yellow Card
A. Carrasquilla (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: S. Ferreira replaces I. Franco
71'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by A. Bassi (pen.)
0-1
70'
Yellow Card
A. Lundqvist (Austin FC) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: A. Lundqvist replaces Z. Kolmanic
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: O. Wolff replaces J. Valencia
59'
Yellow Card
I. Franco (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: E. Finlay replaces D. Fagundez
52'
Yellow Card
D. Fagundez (Austin FC) cautioned
19'
Yellow Card
L. Vaisanen (Austin FC) cautioned

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Austin vs. Houston: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Austin vs. Houston prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Austin vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, March 18, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Austin +190, Houston +140, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-122/+100)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Austin: 36.6%
  • Houston: 39.2%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Austin 1-1 Houston, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Austin is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 36.6% probability, while Houston sits at 39.2%, with the draw at 24.2%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Austin vs. Houston prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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