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San Jose vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for San Jose vs. St Louis City at the MLS on March 18, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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San Jose
0
3
Mar 19, 12:30AM CITYPARK (St. Louis, Missouri)
St Louis City
Mar 19, 12:30AM CITYPARK (St. Louis, Missouri)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
St Louis CitySTL
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
N. Gioacchini (34')
Soccer ball icon
Joao Klauss (45')
Soccer ball icon
T. Ostrak (68')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
STL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SJ
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
E. Lowen (St. Louis City) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Pompeu replaces N. Gioacchini
86'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: A. Jackson replaces I. Vassilev
83'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: O. Bouda replaces C. Cowell
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by T. Ostrak
0-3
66'
Yellow Card
M. Baldisimo (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Adeniran replaces Joao Klauss
65'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Perez replaces J. Stroud
64'
Yellow Card
C. Cowell (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
58'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: T. Beason replaces Rodrigues
57'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Ostrak replaces R. Alm
46'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Marie replaces M. Trauco
46'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: B. Kikanovic replaces T. Thompson
46'
Yellow Card
B. Kikanovic (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by Joao Klauss
0-2
40'
Yellow Card
M. Trauco (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
34'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by N. Gioacchini
0-1
29'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: M. Baldisimo replaces C. Gruezo
14'
Yellow Card
Rodrigues (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned

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San Jose vs. St Louis City: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' San Jose vs. St Louis City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. St Louis City
  • Date: Saturday, March 18, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: CITYPARK
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Jose +235, St Louis City +115, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-126/+104)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • San Jose: 22.0%
  • St Louis City: 55.9%
  • Draw: 22.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is San Jose 1-1 St Louis City, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

San Jose is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 22.0% probability, while St Louis City sits at 55.9%, with the draw at 22.0%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' San Jose vs. St Louis City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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