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Miami vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Miami vs. NY City at the MLS on March 11, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Miami
0
1
Mar 12, 12:30AM Yankee Stadium (New York City)
NY City
Mar 12, 12:30AM Yankee Stadium (New York City)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NY CityNYC
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
C. McVey (o.g.) (36')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NYC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
MIA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
82'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. Morales replaces Talles Magno
77'
Yellow Card
T. Gray (New York City) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. Jasson replaces Gabriel Pereira
76'
Yellow Card
(Inter Miami) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: A. Lassiter replaces Gregore
70'
Yellow Card
M. Pellegrini (New York City) cautioned
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: R. Taylor replaces N. Stefanelli
67'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: T. Gray replaces M. Ilenic
59'
Yellow Card
S. Kryvtsov (Inter Miami) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: B. Duke replaces C. Jean
53'
Yellow Card
M. Ilenic (New York City) cautioned
51'
Yellow Card
D. Yedlin (Inter Miami) cautioned
47'
Yellow Card
Jean Mota (Inter Miami) cautioned
36'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by C. McVey (o.g.)
0-1
32'
Yellow Card
B. E. Cufre (New York City) cautioned
6'
Yellow Card
F. Negri (Inter Miami) cautioned

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Miami vs. NY City: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Miami vs. NY City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. NY City
  • Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Miami +400, NY City +270, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-186/+135)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Miami: 21.9%
  • NY City: 54.2%
  • Draw: 23.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Miami 0-1 NY City, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Miami is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 21.9% probability, while NY City sits at 54.2%, with the draw at 23.9%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Miami vs. NY City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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