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Chicago vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Chicago vs. Philadelphia at the MLS on March 11, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Chicago
0
1
Mar 12, 12:30AM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
Philadelphia
Mar 12, 12:30AM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
J. Torres (90')
Soccer ball icon
F. Herbers (50')
Red Card icon
K. Kamara (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PHI
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
CHI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by J. Torres, assisted by J. Martinez
0-1
90'
Yellow Card
J. Torres (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
90'
Red Card
K. Kamara (Chicago Fire) sent off for a second yellow card
90'
Yellow Card
Q. Sullivan (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: Q. Sullivan replaces O. Mbaizo
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Casas replaces X. Shaqiri
74'
Yellow Card
A. Bedoya (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces G. Gimenez
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. McGlynn replaces L. Flach
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Torres replaces M. Uhre
61'
Yellow Card
J. Elliott (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: C. Mueller replaces K. Przybylko
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. J. Dean R. replaces A. Souquet
50'
Red Card
F. Herbers (Chicago Fire) sent off for a second yellow card
45'
Yellow Card
J. Martinez (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
F. Herbers (Chicago Fire) cautioned
42'
Yellow Card
M. Navarro (Chicago Fire) cautioned
38'
Yellow Card
K. Kamara (Chicago Fire) cautioned
33'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bendik replaces A. Blake
12'
Yellow Card
C. Teran (Chicago Fire) cautioned

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Chicago vs. Philadelphia: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Chicago vs. Philadelphia prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +540, Philadelphia -155, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+133/-145)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Chicago: 9.5%
  • Philadelphia: 73.3%
  • Draw: 17.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chicago 0-2 Philadelphia, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Chicago is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 9.5% probability, while Philadelphia sits at 73.3%, with the draw at 17.2%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Chicago vs. Philadelphia prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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