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NY Red Bulls vs. Minnesota Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for NY Red Bulls vs. Minnesota at the MLS on March 11, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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NY Red Bulls
1
:
1
Mar 12, 1:30AM Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
Minnesota
Mar 12, 1:30AM Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MinnesotaMIN
Score Summary
NY Red BullsNY
B. Hlongwane (18')
Soccer ball icon
A. Reyes (49')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MIN
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
NY
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: D. Nealis replaces A. Reyes
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: T. Barlow replaces L. Morgan
87'
Yellow Card
K. Duncan (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: T. Oluwaseyi replaces F. Fragapane
76'
Yellow Card
K. Arriaga (Minnesota United) cautioned
68'
Yellow Card
C. Casseres (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: Elias Manoel replaces C. Burke
65'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: D. Vanzeir replaces Luquinhas
65'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: O. Fernandez replaces D. Edelman
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: L. Amarilla replaces M. Garcia
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: H. Dotson replaces W. Trapp
49'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by A. Reyes, assisted by J. Tolkin
1-1
36'
Yellow Card
S. Nealis (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Minnesota United by B. Hlongwane
0-1

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NY Red Bulls vs. Minnesota: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' NY Red Bulls vs. Minnesota prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: NY Red Bulls vs. Minnesota
  • Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Allianz Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +500, Minnesota -140, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • NY Red Bulls: 32.5%
  • Minnesota: 39.8%
  • Draw: 27.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is NY Red Bulls 1-1 Minnesota, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 32.5% probability, while Minnesota sits at 39.8%, with the draw at 27.7%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' NY Red Bulls vs. Minnesota prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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