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Monterrey vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Monterrey vs. Necaxa at the Liga MX on April 28, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Monterrey
5
2
Apr 29, 12AM Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)
Necaxa
Apr 29, 12AM Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
MonterreyMON
D. Cambindo (59')
Soccer ball icon
H. Jurado (90')
Soccer ball icon
G. Berterame (50')
Soccer ball icon
S. Canales (52')
Soccer ball icon
S. Canales (64')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gonzalez (81')
Soccer ball icon
B. Vazquez (86')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MON
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by H. Jurado
5-2
86'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by B. Vazquez, assisted by A. Gonzalez
5-1
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: A. Colorado replaces J. Paradela
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: A. Andrade replaces F. Arce
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by A. Gonzalez, assisted by J. Gallardo
4-1
76'
Yellow Card
F. Arce (Necaxa) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: E. Mendez replaces D. Gomez
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: A. Gonzalez replaces J. Cortizo
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: O. Govea replaces V. Guzman
74'
Yellow Card
D. Gomez (Necaxa) cautioned
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Gallardo replaces L. Romo
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: B. Vazquez replaces M. Meza
64'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by S. Canales
3-1
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by D. Cambindo, assisted by R. Monreal
2-1
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: H. Jurado replaces M. Mayorga
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces B. Samudio
52'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by S. Canales, assisted by J. Rodriguez
2-0
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by G. Berterame, assisted by L. Romo
1-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: E. Gutierrez replaces S. Medina
44'
Yellow Card
J. Cortizo (Monterrey) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
S. Vegas (Monterrey) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
M. Mayorga (Necaxa) cautioned

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Monterrey vs. Necaxa: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Monterrey vs. Necaxa prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Monterrey vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Sunday, April 28, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Monterrey +128, Necaxa +220, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/-105)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Monterrey: 44.6%
  • Necaxa: 30.1%
  • Draw: 25.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Monterrey 1-1 Necaxa, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 44.6% probability, while Necaxa sits at 30.1%, with the draw at 25.3%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Monterrey vs. Necaxa prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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