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Guadalajara vs. Atlas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Guadalajara vs. Atlas at the Liga MX on April 27, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
1
0
Apr 28, 3:10AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
Atlas
Apr 28, 3:10AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AtlasATL
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
R. Alvarado (74')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
GCH
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. Caicedo (Atlas) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Briseno replaces F. Beltran
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: J. Zapata replaces M. E. Garcia
85'
Yellow Card
J. Zapata (Atlas) cautioned
85'
Yellow Card
J. Orozco (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
83'
Yellow Card
C. Cowell (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: V. Guzman replaces P. Perez
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: C. Cowell replaces R. Marin
79'
Yellow Card
R. Fulgencio (Atlas) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: V. H. Rios De Alba replaces A. Rocha
74'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Alvarado, assisted by J. Orozco
1-0
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: I. A. Larios replaces J. Murillo
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: J. Caicedo replaces E. Aguirre
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: A. Bass replaces J. Marquez
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Chicharito replaces I. Brizuela
33'
Yellow Card
J. Marquez (Atlas) cautioned
27'
Yellow Card
J. Lozano (Atlas) cautioned
2'
Yellow Card
J. Castillo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned

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Guadalajara vs. Atlas: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Atlas prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Atlas
  • Date: Saturday, April 27, 2024
  • Time: 11:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Jalisco
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara -105, Atlas +280, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-118/-105)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 50.0%
  • Atlas: 25.1%
  • Draw: 24.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Guadalajara 1-1 Atlas, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 50.0% probability, while Atlas sits at 25.1%, with the draw at 24.9%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Atlas prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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