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San Luis vs. Santos Laguna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for San Luis vs. Santos Laguna at the Liga MX on April 28, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
San Luis
3
0
Apr 29, 12AM Estadio Corona (Torreón)
Santos Laguna
Apr 29, 12AM Estadio Corona (Torreón)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Santos LagunaSAN
Score Summary
San LuisASL
Yan Phillipe (17')
Soccer ball icon
F. Boli (30')
Soccer ball icon
S. Salles Lamonge (56')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SAN
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
ASL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Yellow Card
G. Munoz (Santos Laguna) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: J. Villal replaces B. Galdames
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: K. Ortega replaces A. Cruz
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: G. Munoz replaces D. Medina
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: L. Bonatini replaces Yan Phillipe
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: J. Castro replaces S. Salles Lamonge
72'
Yellow Card
J. Carrillo (Santos Laguna) cautioned
72'
Yellow Card
Yan Phillipe (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
69'
Yellow Card
J. Guemez (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: J. A. Ocejo Zazueta replaces A. Lopez
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: I. Govea replaces V. Lorona
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by S. Salles Lamonge
3-0
54'
Yellow Card
Luis Vega (Santos Laguna) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: Luis Vega replaces A. Cervantes
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: H. Holguin replaces C. Acevedo
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: D. Rodriguez replaces F. Boli
45'
Yellow Card
R. Chavez (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
44'
Yellow Card
V. Lorona (Santos Laguna) cautioned
43'
Yellow Card
F. Boli (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by F. Boli
2-0
17'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Yan Phillipe
1-0

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San Luis vs. Santos Laguna: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' San Luis vs. Santos Laguna prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: San Luis vs. Santos Laguna
  • Date: Sunday, April 28, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Corona
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Luis +235, Santos Laguna +115, draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/-105)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • San Luis: 27.6%
  • Santos Laguna: 49.3%
  • Draw: 23.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is San Luis 1-1 Santos Laguna, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

San Luis is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 27.6% probability, while Santos Laguna sits at 49.3%, with the draw at 23.1%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' San Luis vs. Santos Laguna prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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